Monday, October 22nd 2012, 9:33 AM EDT
Solar Linkage for Dummies
The socio-economic situation in South Africa and many other countries continues to deteriorate. In South Africa it is estimated that about 39% of the population live below the breadline. About 25% of the work force are unemployed. This is unsustainable.
To counter this situation the authorities have just announced an extensive and expensive infrastructure development programme, including the provision of affordable water and electricity. However, the implementation will require increases in the employment of competent and experienced professional staff. This in turn requires urgent, experience based high level training courses for practitioners, certainly not short presentations based on academic studies.
This has been my objective during my long professional career. Imagine my indignation when our water division announced a presentation on ‘climate change and water’ by a person who has close to zero practical knowledge and experience in the field of water resource development and management.
Now on top of all this, international scientific leaders in the field of climate change have been forced to acknowledge that global warming ceased some 16 years ago! This leaves climate change believers out on a limb. Please read my attached files Memo 13/12 and Solar linkage extract.pdf with this in mind. The extract is from my extensive technical report Development of a sub-continental scale drought prediction method that is available on my website [Above link]
Memo 13 /12. Solar linkage for dummies
Will Alexander firstname.lastname@example.org.
Monday 22 October 2012
The Western literature asserts that David Livingstone discovered the Victoria Falls. In fact members of the local community were his guides when he visited the falls for the first time.
Many years ago the London Missionary Society sent David Livingstone to Africa to change the beliefs of the local inhabitants. He also had an enquiring mind. He explored wide areas of Central Africa in his search for the origins of the Nile River, which is the world's longest river. He was not successful in either of these objectives but his activities greatly improved the general knowledge of this region of Darkest Africa and are well documented.
On many occasions I felt that I was following in David Livingstone's footsteps. My principal objective was to convert the beliefs of the scientific heathens of the northern hemisphere. My own explorations were mainly in the fields of regional multiyear predictions of the hydrological processes (principally droughts and floods) and the probable role of variations in the solar linkage.
Last month after many years of effort and opposition, I produced my detailed technical report on the development of a sub-continental scale drought prediction method. It is based on the thoroughly studied and proven linkage between multiyear periodicity in the hydrological processes and their synchronous linkage with the double sunspot cycle.
The observed synchronous linkage of these processes with sunspot activity has been studied and reported here in South Africa for more than a century. However, the linkage was specifically denied in the IPCC literature based on references to the peer reviewed literature. This ‘follow my leader’ approach was adopted by South African climate change scientists who quoted the overseas peer reviewed literature and completely ignored the growing volume of evidence of the linkage here in South Africa.
Please try to imagine my surprise when I read the following passage in the UK Mail Online article that I mentioned in my previous Memo 12/12. Prof Phil Jones is the director of the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia and centre of the Climategate scandal.
Even Prof Jones admitted that he and his colleagues did not understand the impact of ‘natural variability’ -- factors such as long-term ocean temperature cycles and changes in the output of the sun. However, he said he was still convinced that the current decade would end up significantly warmer than the previous two.
What better support could I have for the methodology that I used to produce my technical report completed last month on the Development of a sub-continental scale drought prediction method? It is available on my new website.
I will return to it in a later memo.
There are times when I feel sorry for the South African climate change community. On many occasions I suggested that we get around a table to discuss our differences. They steadfastly refused or ignored my offer. They have now entered a morass of their own making. The Kyoto Protocol expires at the end of this year. According to leakages on the Internet, the nations are struggling to produce an agreed agenda for COP18 to be held before the end of this year.
Now we are told that ‘--- even Prof Jones admitted that he and his colleagues did not understand the impact of ‘natural variability’ -- factors such as long-term ocean temperature cycles and changes in the output of the sun. As mentioned above we in South Africa have studied and reported on these phenomena for more than a century.
With all this in mind please read the attached extract from my technical report. It details the solar linkage component of the report used for the production of the method. It was produced during the months ahead of the UK Met Office’s acknowledgement that there has been no global warming for the past 16 years despite continued increases in global greenhouse emissions during this period. This acknowledgement is solid confirmation of our studies during the past decades. It undermines all that nonsense in the peer reviewed literature, mostly by northern hemisphere scientists who seldom see the sun, unlike those of us in sunny South Africa.
Being ignorant of the presence of something does not justify claims that it does not exist. As reported in our studies commencing with my 1978 publication Long range prediction of river flow – a preliminary assessment, and repeated in many publications since then, it is the periodic and therefore predictable variations in the receipt and global redistribution of solar energy via global atmospheric and oceanic processes that drive the world’s climate – certainly not changes in global temperatures that are the consequences, not the cause, of these variations.
I cannot allow millions of people on the African continent to suffer because of the politically motivated ignorance of scientists in the developed nations to the north of us that are treated as gospel by South African followers.
As a matter of interest this week is the 70th anniversary of the Battle of El Alamein. It was described as the turning point of WWII. At that time my father was in a Prisoner of War camp in Italy and I was a teenager in a training camp here in South Africa. We were both volunteers. I still have a strong loyalty to my country and its peoples.
[To be continued.]
As always please distribute widely.
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