Weather Action puts out another round of extreme event forecasts
Further info http://www.lowefo.com
Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist and director of WeatherAction long range forecasters speaking at their monthly Press conference on 27th June at his London headquarters spelt out another round of extreme events trial forecasts particularly for the USA and Pacific. He said their successes earlier this year and so far this summer represented significant advances which with new work on Typhoons now made release of 7 more public forecasts possible (while longer ahead forecasts of extreme events are available to customers).
Around 5th July: -
Tropical Storm / hurricane formation 75% probable - most likely in Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean &/or South Tropical North Atlantic. (Likely tracks: N, NW, West respectively) Landfall 20%
One or two typhoons 80% probable to form - most likely in mid Pacific and heading in curved track NW->N->NE with 30% chance of Japan landfall hit.
Around 14th July: -
One or possibly two Tropical storm/hurricane formation 75% probable (or/& enhancing of existing storm), probability to reach hurricane higher than 5th July possibilities. Similar tracks to forecast for 5th July. Landfall 60%.
Two typhoons likely similar tracks to 5th July Forecast, 80% likely; with 30% risk of a Japan hit.
The combined probabilities of typhoons above means there is a 60% chance of a Japan typhoon hit from typhoon formations which start in first half of July.
Around 18th/19th July: -
Two typhoons 80% likely to form which will hit Philippines &/or Taiwan &/or mainland China.
Tropical storm formation 75% likely in South Tropical North Atlantic and heading North. NO Landfall.
New York area heatwave / hotspell 80% likely of Max temps over 95F in period 18-20th July.