Sunday, December 20th 2009, 1:39 PM EST
SEPP SCIENCE EDITORIAL #30-2009 (Dec 19, 2009) By S. Fred Singer, President of SEPP
Note: This will be the first of a series of mini-editorials on the “junk science” influencing the global warming issue. Other topics will include the IPCC’s Assessment Reports 2, 3, and 4, the UN Environmental Program and some individuals heavily involved in these matters. ]
Junk Science #1: IPCC’s First Assessment Report
In 1988, two UN agencies, the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) and the UN World Meteorological Organization (WMO), set up a climate science panel, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Its Charter directs the IPCC to assess worldwide scientific, technical and socio-economic literature “relevant to the understanding of the risk of human-induced climate change.”
And indeed, the IPCC has steadfastly pursued this goal and has given a short shrift to any possible natural influences on climate. (This despite the fact that the historic record shows unending changes in climate, both warming and cooling, on time scales ranges from years to eons.) It would be strange indeed to think that such natural changes stopped with the onset of the Industrial Revolution, but this logical point seems to have been ignored by the IPCC and many others.
The IPCC charter also states that IPCC will assess the science on a “comprehensive, objective, open and transparent” basis. Unfortunately, none of these aims have been realized – as was brought home by the recent revelations contained in the e-mails of ClimateGate.
The first IPCC science assessment, FAR or AR-1, was published in 1990 and formed the science basis for the Rio Climate Summit of 1992 that led to the Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC or ‘Global Climate Treaty’), which in turn forms the basis for the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, the COP (Conference of the Parties – to Kyoto), and all national and international efforts to control the emission of greenhouse gases.
The Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of IPCC-FAR concluded that observations and Greenhouse (GH) models (all of which show a steady increase of global temperature as the level of GH gases rises) are “broadly consistent.” They ignore not only the lengthy period of cooling (from 1940 to 1975) but also the existence of weather satellites, which, at that time, had shown no warming since 1979 (when data from MSU – microwave sounding units -- became available) -- or even a slight cooling. No wonder that IPCC denied the existence of such ‘inconvenient truth.’
To correct such biases and deficiencies, we set up the NIPCC (Non-governmental International Panel on Climate Change) to examine the same peer-reviewed science literature as the IPCC, but including also papers ignored by the IPCC. Our conclusion is given by the title of the NIPCC summary report of 2008: “Nature, not human activity, rules the climate.”
Note the original PDF had a bug, this has now been corrected and updated.
Please download PDF file to read FULL report fron SEPP.org