It's been a long time coming - a whole 12 months, in fact - but it seems the country really is on course for a barbecue summer.
And before you mutter: 'I've heard that one before', the prediction comes from a forecaster with a somewhat better record on the subject than the poor old Met Office.
It was the Met men who told us to expect a 'barbecue summer' in 2009, which turned out to be so spectacularly wrong that it led to an embarrassed Met Office dropping long-term seasonal forecasts.
In fact, last summer was a wash-out, as correctly predicted by Positive Weather Solutions, which has 'out-forecast' the Met Office over the last two years with a string of accurate long-term predictions. And PWS is confident that Britain will indeed see a barbecue summer this year...........The PWS forecast is:
JUNE: Starts with fine weather. Rain mid-month but temperatures warm to very warm. Changeable later in month with fine conditions although some heavy rain to finish.
Updated below in comments section by Piers Corbyn
JULY: Starts unsettled with some rain, then dry through mid-month with warm to very warm temperatures, lots of sunshine and light breeze. Humid towards end of the month with thunderstorms and possible flash floods.
AUGUST: Thunderstorms quickly replaced by unbroken sunshine which may cause record temperatures. Warm mid-month but broken up by unsettled periods. Good weather towards month end before showery, cooler conditions move in.
Click source to read FULL report from Lucy Ballinger and note Jonathan Powell of www.positiveweathersolutions.co.uk
is often put forward as a leading or even Senior weather forecaster for long range weather predictions. If any of you can come forward with his previous long range forecasts (Winter 2009/10 or Summer 2009) that was proved to be correct let us know.
As far as we are concerned, Piers Corbyn and www.weatheraction.com
is the ONLY accurate long range weather forecaster of note as they use the predictable activity of the Sun in conjunction with the orbit of the Moon.
The portrayal of Jonathan Powell and his successful methods by the media is very misleading, If he can come forward and give an indication as to how he achieves his result without the use of a crystal ball we would like to know.
On a more positive note for Jonathan he IS on our side of the fence and his article Positive Weather Solutions - Challenge to Climate Change
is a worth a read
PWS are of the firm belief that global warming is cyclical, and there is no substantial, conclusive evidence, to back up the statement that we are heading towards a 'runaway climate' scenario.
There is significant evidence to suggest the our climate is dominated by cyclical patterns.
Source of graph Dr. Roy Spencer
The graph depicts analysis of tree ring data taken from 12 locations in the northern hemisphere, and despite challenges to it from some quarters, it remains in the belief of PWS, solid evidence of a cyclical pattern in weather, and furthermore, shows that humans and their related events in history do indeed coincide with variances. Even if the ring data as some suggest actually suggests cooling where there is warming, this too remains a variance, and not an over all definitive trend.
There is also a noticeable blip in the argument for climate change during the period from around 5000 - 3000 BC, known as the 'climatic optimum', where temperatures were even warmer than the allegedly runaway climate temperatures of the future, that we're supposed to be seeing if global warming were true.
Furthermore, the most reliable form of temperature measurement are satellite readings taken from the Earth's lower troposphere, and these show no apparent global warming over the last quarter of a century. Land based temperature readings are distorted, because of human influence, industry etc.
In conclusion, there have been three noticeable trend indicators in history as we understand it. The 'Medieval Climate Anomaly'; 'The Little Ice Age', and 'The Industrial Era', which have all 'affected' the climate. However, nature and the Earth in general has re balanced affairs as it ages, and whereas man has had an influence on the climate, there remains no outright conclusive evidence that within the next hundred year or so, temperatures will continue to climb and even if they do, they will plateau out, and cool down again.
Senior Weather Forecaster
Positive Weather Solutions
Monday December 7th 2009