Highlights of Presentation made by Dr Ritesh Arya at TEDx India 2011 paper also accepted for presentation at Global Conference on Global Warming 2011 Lisbon
Climate Change talks start with the word Climate Change but the very next moment they are talking about OZONE depletion,Green House Effect,Pollution and now CO2. Breathe less you are exhaling more CO2 and may be contributing to climate change.UNIPCC over the years have worked hard with great difficulty to establish the relationship between activities of man, industrialisation,pollution with climate change but if that relationship is to be believed then we are heading towards a great catastrophe because by 2050 GHGs are bound to increase exponentially due to rise in CO2 emission due to increased Industrial and Infra structural growth to support the growing population which will also reach 9 billion mark if UN reports are to be believed.Therefore the temperatures should rise exponentially leading to alarming rates and finally leading to major catastrophe finally extinction. But this will not be true.....New research findings clearly show that temperatures will not increase and will dip down after reaching Global Maxima. Actually there is no relationship between the two. Global Temperatures are controlled by natural cyclic process and not by emission's natural (volcanic eruptions) or man made.
Today everybody has an opinion on Climate change but nobody knows what to do about it. Still everybody specially the politicians wants to take action and operate on the climate change without actually knowing the cause of the disease. According to present findings by the author "Climate Change is a natural cyclic process like DAY & NIGHT comprising of Global warming and cooling process which are cyclic in nature wherein global warming acts as a TRANSPORTING AGENCY in nature, responsible for transporting all the materials deposited during global cooling times. Floods and cyclones are two important agents of global warming". These activities of climate change are very well preserved in the rocks in the form of curving embedded in the massive rocks. So these tahponomical evidences of paleoclimatic signatures provide a good record of warming and cooling events since the last glaciation around 11714 from present as per International Reference standards.
Present paper for the first time reports the discovery of paleo-climatic signatures embedded in the massive batholiths of granite in the north West Himalayas of Ladakh beautifully preserved in the form of C curves.These curves resemble the alphabet C hence their name. Starting of alphabet C represents global cooling maxima or the Ice age,the top flat portion represents transition from ice age to cooling age whereas central portion represents transition from cooling to warming times. Centre of alphabet C represents global warming Maxima marked by massive floods and cyclones causing maximum amount of transportation of the material at any given time of natural cycle. Therefore it is the time of maximum destruction in any climate cycle. Intensity of destruction decreases once we are away from maxima and heads towards transition from global warming maxima to warming and finally cooling and culminating at global cooling maxima i.e Ice Age marked by completion of alphabet C.
Taphonomical analysis of these paleoclimatic signature indicate uniformity in the shape and size of these curves and establishes a definite cyclicity in the spacing and occurrence of these curves.These cycles can be complete or Big C cycles or small or half C cycle. After every 4 complete C cycle we have one small or half C cycle. 10 such C cycles were discovered by the author during the investigations
Based on calculations by the author there are 8 complete C cycles and 2 half or small C cycles.
So each complete C cycle represents 1338 years whereas half C cycle represents 669 years.
Important question here is where are we in these cycles. If International Reference Standards is to be taken as the base line for the last Ice Age then definitely we are in the middle of small or half C cycle and global warming Maxima was in 2010 marked by global flooding event of small magnitude witnessed in all the continents. I myself was trapped in massive flloding event in Leh Ladakh India on 5thAugust 2010 and was miraculously escaped on that night. The flooding event recorded deposition of 3m - 8m in a fraction of second which left 190 people dead and damage to loss of animal life and property.
What Next where are we heading to? This is an important question......and if the carvings in the Batholith are to be believed then we are heading towards transition from global warming maxima to warming this period would last for 167 years where temperatures would start dipping gradually and naturally. Finally warming will phase into cooling culminating into Ice Age.....Accordingly the next Ice age will again be a small Ice age as was witnessed in 1677 leading to frozen Thames and will be around 2344 AD. However the next complete global warming maxima will be around 3014 years,which will lead to destruction of major civilisations in the historical past like it happened in Indus valley or Mesopotamium.
What is the solution
UNFCCC has proposed Carbon Credits,Clean Development Mechanism,Carbon Capture and Storage but these are just Credit Games and have nothing to do with combating Climate Change because a small flood will destroy our future generation when they will be busy trading Carbon credits,thinking it to be the best solution to cope with climate change.
Since the problem of Climate Change is natural and geological process are involved in its entire mechanism so the solution to combat climate change should also be geological in nature. And accordingly Building sustainable habitats in geologically sound locations away from shores,coasts and banks of rivers or streams is the only true solution to combat climate change.
Posted by aryas at 3/31/2011 07:10:00 AM