Wednesday, November 16th 2011, 1:34 PM EST
This is part of Raphael’s famous fresco (wall painting) titled the School of Athens in the Vatican. I had the privilege of studying it during WWII when we had plenty of time to spare. The theme of the fresco is Philosophy and this part of the fresco shows Euclid teaching mathematics to a group of enthusiastic pupils. He has a pair of dividers symbolising measurement and is pointing to a visual image on a slate.
His studies have enabled us to measure distances from a point on earth to a point on the moon with a high degree of accuracy. But we still cannot predict future rainfall and river flow other than in probabilistic terms. This is the difference between accurate mathematical descriptions and broad probabilistic methods that we have so much difficulty in mastering.
The attached a memo (see PDF below) is very important as it describes the complete turnaround in the climate change science issues here in South Africa.
This will be my last memo for a while as I have to get on with completing my handbook (CLICK to see the table of contents) while relaxing at Plettenberg Bay.
The COP17 discussions are more likely to resemble an Agatha Christie novel than real world events. I will let you know if there is any drama during or after COP17.
to see all of Will Alexanders Memos at Climate Realists