The Realists Take on Climate Change
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Wednesday, July 2nd 2008, 3:50 AM EDT
Many thanks to Gary for sending in this report from WebCommentary by Dennis T Avery, the article is a big plus for the supporters of the Sun theory.
Dennis T. Avery is a senior fellow for Hudson Institute in Washington, DC and the Director for Global Food Issues. He was formerly a senior analyst for the Department of State. Readers may write him at Post Office Box 202, Churchville, VA 24421.
A team of water experts says the pattern of droughts and floods in South Africa shows our global warming was triggered by the variability of the sun’s irradiance rather than by human-emitted CO2. They say variations in South African rainfall patterns are keyed to periodic reversals of the sun’s magnetic field—and to the constantly changing distance between the sun and the earth as both move through space.
In South Africa, alternate 11-year sunspot cycles produce opposite rainfall results. One complete “double sun cycle” occurs every 20.8 years: the “first” cycle brings a big flood, followed by a small drought; the next brings a big drought, followed by a small flood.
Lead author Will Alexander used the double sunspot cycle to publicly predict the end of major South African droughts in both 1995 and 2006. He notes that South African droughts have often been broken at 11-year intervals by severe floods associated with sunspot maxima—as in 1822, 1841, 1863, 1874 and 1885. The research summary appears in the June 2007 issue of the Journal of the South African Institution of Civil Engineering.
The South Africans’ conclusion is reinforced by Dr. Robert Baker of Australia, who told a recent meeting of the International Geographical Union that he has found the same 21-year cycle in Australian drought and rainfall. Baker says “the sun is like a musical instrument, vibrating in complex patterns,” with all of the planets moving in similar relationships.
Tuesday, July 1st 2008, 6:33 PM EDT
Tell us the truth – do those pictures hit home with you? Do they make you want to walk to work, put up solar panels this weekend, and eat lower on the food chain the rest of your life?
Images, and literally dozens like them available on the internet, drive home the obvious point that Antarctica is melting, global warming is the cause, and we in the United States are responsible for the demise of the penguins thanks to our appetite for fossil fuels.
This type of presentation is very typical of the global warming alarmists – feel free to visit nearly 500,000 web sites dealing with global warming and Antarctica. If you have visited our site before, you would know that the professional scientific literature is full of articles questioning the simplistic statements regarding global warming, Antarctica, and the poor penguins.
The Web's Longest-Running Climate Change Blog, World Climate Report, gave a very worthy news blog concerning the recent over publicised "North Pole Melt Down", here is what they had to say.
Tuesday, July 1st 2008, 6:20 PM EDT
Yet another CO2 Sceptic journalist and yet another main stream newspaper, this time its The Wall Street Journal by Bret Stephens, he comes out firing on all cylinders concerning what he has to say about "Man Made Climate Change"
Last week marked the 20th anniversary of the mass hysteria phenomenon known as global warming. Much of the science has since been discredited. Now it's time for political scientists, theologians and psychiatrists to weigh in.
What, discredited? Thousands of scientists insist otherwise, none more noisily than NASA's Jim Hansen, who first banged the gong with his June 23, 1988, congressional testimony (delivered with all the modesty of "99% confidence").
But mother nature has opinions of her own. NASA now begrudgingly confirms that the hottest year on record in the continental 48 was not 1998, as previously believed, but 1934, and that six of the 10 hottest years since 1880 antedate 1954. Data from 3,000 scientific robots in the world's oceans show there has been slight cooling in the past five years, never mind that "80% to 90% of global warming involves heating up ocean waters," according to a report by NPR's Richard Harris.
Tuesday, July 1st 2008, 4:00 AM EDT
A very good news blog in the SundayPaper by Chuck Stanley he looks at the fine balance between being green and the economy.
The fight to prove the validity of global warming has been declared over by many in the media, but some scientists keep swinging.
On a recent Thursday morning in Marietta, with the sky clear and blue above them, members of Americans for Prosperity prepared for a stop on the group’s “hot air tour.” The purpose of the event is to raise awareness of the costs of so-called “global warming alarmism.” The tour, which has stops in more than a dozen cities, offers free rides on a 70-foot-high hot air balloon with the words “Global Warming Alarmism: Lost Jobs; Higher Taxes; Less Freedom” emblazoned on its side.
As the sun neared its apex above Jim R. Miller Park, my enthusiasm for hot air ballooning put me directly in the center of a global warming debate that seems to hinge largely on fish populations off the Canadian coast, cosmic rays from deep space, and light bulbs filled with toxic mercury.
According to Tim Phillips, its national director, Americans for Prosperity is a grassroots group that advocates free market solutions for most any problem. He says that the hot air tour was organized to fight solutions to climate change that might erode personal freedoms or imperil economic prosperity.
“No parent wants to destroy the environment for our kids,” he says. “But ... we have to try to make sure we don’t wreck our economy.”
Tuesday, July 1st 2008, 3:39 AM EDT
The Washington Times by David Deming packed a powerful punch to try to deliver a knockout blow against the "Man Made Climate Change" policy. He point's out the energy and economic problems we have as a result of this scam. We are proud to say he is one of many journalists who are making a stand for CO2 Sceptics in the front line media.
David Deming is a geophysicist, an adjunct scholar with the National Center for Policy Analysis and an associate professor of arts and sciences at the University of Oklahoma.
If the price of gasoline is around $4 a gallon, Americans have no one to blame but themselves. For decades, we have demonized the people and businesses who supply our energy. Energy fuels our economy and prosperity, but bad public policies have made it increasingly more difficult to develop our own vast resources. Americans are in danger of falling irreversibly into a dysfunctional culture and fading into the dust of history.
We sit on our own undeveloped energy supplies and complain about the high price of gasoline and imported oil. Public policy in the United States is not designed to facilitate the development of new energy supplies, but to stop it. The U.S. government has placed the Continental Shelves of the U.S. off-limits for drilling. Offshore drilling would have virtually no significant effect on environmental quality.
But our energy policies are not determined by science, reason or facts. Energy policy in the United States is held hostage by a fanatical environmentalism based on emotion, fraud and deceit. The common-sense conservation ethics of Henry Thoreau, John Muir and Theodore Roosevelt have been supplanted by a radical ideology that is anti-science, anti-reason, and anti-human. In the 18th century, Rousseau argued that humanity had been ruined by agriculture and metallurgy. In the 21st century, it's fossil fuels and technology. The exaltation of the primitive is rooted in a hatred of the human mind. This suicidal and nihilistic creed can only lead us back to the Stone Age.
Monday, June 30th 2008, 7:45 PM EDT
This article from NineMsn by Adam Shand has two very well made videos concerning the climate debate and puts forward the skeptics point in a rational way, it's worth the effort to take time out and look at this.
The theory of anthropogenic, or man-made, global warming has become an unchallengeable fact, a piece of black letter law almost unique in the world of science.
Proponents of the theory say the time for scientific debate is over. It would irresponsible to fund any further research into counter views on the relationship between elevated levels of carbon dioxide and a rise in temperatures since the mid-1970s.
It's regarded as career suicide for scientists to advocate any counter view of the causes of global warming, let alone deny the orthodox consensus view as adopted by the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Monday, June 30th 2008, 6:57 PM EDT
We could not believe the headline from the Guardian by Peter Wilby. However when we looked at it in an objective way, we agreed that Peter had used the correct headline but not in the way he had intended!
So, batting from the other side, we wonder what you think of the mind set that has put this up in the name of science, the best part of this article is the public poll showing more people are turning around to a more logical way of thinking, that is apart from this journalist!
According to an Ipsos Mori poll, carried out for the Observer this month, most Britons believe climate change is at least partially down to natural causes, and not solely to human activity. A majority also believe scientists are divided on the causes and more than a fifth say the whole thing has been exaggerated.
Now where would they have got those ideas from? One Channel 4 programme, claiming global warming is "a swindle", has no doubt played a role, as have internet blogs arguing all the world's scientists are party to a Marxist conspiracy bent on destroying western civilisation. But the press, though declining, still counts. It contributes to the framework within which public debate proceeds. It lends respectability to the opinions it highlights.
Monday, June 30th 2008, 3:31 AM EDT
By Viv Forbes
The Carbon Sense Coalition today accused the big farming lobby groups, government departments, politicians and Ministers representing agriculture of ignoring science and abandoning farmers to unjustified carbon taxation.
The chairman of “Carbon Sense”, Mr Viv Forbes, claimed that there was no justification whatsoever for including emissions from farm animals in any carbon emissions tax scheme.
“Every intelligent farmer can understand the carbon food cycle whereby every bit of carbon dioxide released by farm animals or plants into the atmosphere has previously been removed from the same atmosphere.”
“This simple process is surely not beyond the understanding of all the lobbyists, bureaucrats, researchers and media living off farmers?”
Monday, June 30th 2008, 3:19 AM EDT
The article from OnLineOpinion by Tom Harris and John McLean could be in the main stream media very soon, thats providing the media concerned are not part of the lie and misinformation that surrounds Al Gore and the IPCC.
It’s an assertion repeated by politicians and climate campaigners the world over: “2,500 scientists of the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) agree that humans are causing a climate crisis.”
Updated Below from Alan Siddons
But it’s not true. And, for the first time ever, the public can now see the extent to which they have been misled. As lies go, it’s a whopper. Here’s the real situation.
Like the three IPCC “assessment reports” before it, the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) released during 2007 (upon which the UN climate conference in Bali was based) includes the reports of the IPCC’s three working groups.
Sunday, June 29th 2008, 2:50 PM EDT
Weather Action puts out another round of extreme event forecasts
Further info http://www.lowefo.com
Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist and director of WeatherAction long range forecasters speaking at their monthly Press conference on 27th June at his London headquarters spelt out another round of extreme events trial forecasts particularly for the USA and Pacific. He said their successes earlier this year and so far this summer represented significant advances which with new work on Typhoons now made release of 7 more public forecasts possible (while longer ahead forecasts of extreme events are available to customers).
Around 5th July: -
Tropical Storm / hurricane formation 75% probable - most likely in Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean &/or South Tropical North Atlantic. (Likely tracks: N, NW, West respectively) Landfall 20%
One or two typhoons 80% probable to form - most likely in mid Pacific and heading in curved track NW->N->NE with 30% chance of Japan landfall hit.