Articles Tagged "Astrophysics v Meteorology"
Tuesday, April 9th 2013, 10:39 AM EDT
The above chart taken from TropicalStormRisk.com today may be an indication that the First April (9th - 12th) "R4" period, highlighted by Piers Corbyn at the start of this month is now underway.
The following report from SpaceWeather.com confirms a very large area of the Sun has become active...more to follow
FAST-GROWING SUNSPOT: Solar activity is low, but a fast-growing sunspot could break the spell of quiet. AR1718 has more than doubled in size during the past 48 hours as shown in this movie from the Solar Dynamics Observatory [Click source link for Video]. The magnetic field of AR1718 is rapidly changing and therefore prone to instabilities. If it criss-crosses and reconnects--bang! A solar flare could occur. Because of the sunspot's central location on the solar disk, any eruptions would be Earth-directed.
Tropical Cyclone Imelda - accuweather.com
Forecasters with the JTWC as well as the Tropical Cyclone Centre of La Reunion called for further strengthening, culminating in at least Category 2 hurricane equivalent status by Thursday...click source for more.
See below latest...M6.3 Earthquake hits Iran
Saturday, April 6th 2013, 4:43 PM EDT
I had been waiting to post the above WeatherAction.com "Red Warning" chart for April starting from the first "R4" period, due to commence on the 9th, and not for the first time the period before this event held a higher "QV" warning. This "new" style of forecasting from Piers certainly throws my understanding of these ratings out.
I tend to look for the highest "R" rating and post accordingly, however on the past two occasions it was the "R3" rating that had the higher "QV" period and it has come up with a higher then average magnitude Earthquake...see below the result for the past two months for these "R3" events and you will see what I mean.
Wednesday, March 27th 2013, 3:19 PM EDT
On March 23rd I posted the end of March "Red Warning" from Piers Corbyn and he stated that the 26th to 31st March would be a high end "R4" period. The chart I posted also mentioned there would be a "significant Earth facing" Coronal Hole and that Piers expected a higher then average risk for a M6.5+ Earthquake as a result of this event.
As you can see from the above SpaceWeather.com report, here is the Coronal Hole....more to follow.
Click source for FULL report from SpaceWeather.com
Saturday, March 23rd 2013, 8:28 AM EDT
It looks like I have made a rare mistake in the posting of the Piers Corbyn "Red Warning" periods, I left out the "R4" period that immediately followed 13th - 16th March. I understand from Piers that he has recently changed the format of these predictions and that they now occasionally skip a day in between these solar/lunar forecasts and therefore improve his overall monthly percentage.
The above chart takes us up to the end of March and as you can see this period is expected to be very eventful, containing several days with a "R4" rating and ending the month with a high risk of a M6.5+ Earthquake ....stay tuned for more.
Saturday, March 16th 2013, 8:44 PM EDT
Just as Piers Corbyn predicted at the start of the month for this period, we have a major solar event taking place on the Sun as demonstrated by the above proton Flux Chart from NOAA.
I posted details of the "R4" event on the 12th March for period 13th - 16th and mentioned this time there was less chance of a M6.5+ Earthquake but exreme weather events could not be ruled out.....more to follow
Report from SpaceWeather.com A magnetic filament snaking around sunspot AR1692 erupted on March 15th at about 0600 UT..The CME left the sun traveling some 900 km/s (2 million mph). Three-dimensional computer models based on observations from SOHO and NASA's twin STEREO probes predict the CME will cross the void between sun and Earth in two days or less. NOAA forecasters estimate a 70% chance of polar geomagnetic storms when the cloud arrives on March 17th. This means the sky could turn green on St. Patrick's Day! High latitude (and possibly even middle latitude) sky watchers should be alert for auroras this weekend....click SpaceWeather.com link for more
Tuesday, March 12th 2013, 7:28 PM EDT
The above "Red Warning" chart from Piers Corbyn indicates that the next few days are classified as a high ranking "R4" Period but unlike other months this period has a lesser "QV3" category.
The preceding period "R3" for the 7th - 9th March was given a higher "QV" rating of "QV5" and had a corresponding M6.5 Earthquake. On this occasion I was unable to locate a solar flare that coincided with this event.
The impact of this high ranking period is for extreme "weather" events rather then those that relate for Volcano's and Earthquakes.....more to follow.
MAGNETIC ERUPTION ON MARCH 12th - SpaceWeather.com: A magnetic filament in the sun's northern hemisphere erupted today, March 12th, around 1107 UT..The source of the explosion was active region AR1690 on the sun's central meridian. Although AR1690 is almost directly facing our planet, debris from the blast might miss Earth. A CME emerging from the blast site appears to be heading mostly north of the sun-Earth line...click SpaceWeather.com link for more
Tuesday, March 19th 2013, 12:45 PM EDT
The Goldfields supercell. Picture: Walter Ford
On Sunday I posted news of a Magnetic Filament Eruption (15th March) for the Piers Corbyn "R4" Period for period 13th - 16th March, and as regular followers of this topic would know, I then try and hunt down a rare weather event to tie in with these solar events.
I know think I have located a story from Australia that ticks all/most of the boxes for such an event....
Rare glimpse of spectacular supercell - au.news.yahoo.com/thewest
Swirling winds, a lack of rain and a stunning lightning show made for a spectacular sight as a supercell formed over the Goldfields on Sunday.
Kalgoorlie-Boulder meteorological station manager Steven Black said the cloud formation was an "excellent example of a low precipitation supercell".
"Supercells such as these form over dry arid areas and are noticeable due to the circular shape of the lower part of the cloud," Mr Black said.
"The shape comes from the presence of a mesocyclone, which is essentially a little vortex with the air moving around in circles and upwards.
"What made this cloud so spectacular was there was very little rain and made it very easy to view."...click au.news.yahoo.com for more
Saturday, March 30th 2013, 11:20 AM EDT
As odd as it sounds...this amazing weather event is taking place during the current Piers Corbyn "R4" period.....more to follow
I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a storm this big before.
The storm shown here stretches west to east from Newfoundland to Portugal. Its southern tail (cold front) extends into the Caribbean and the north side of its comma head touches southern Greenland.
Not only is it big, but it’s also super intense – comparable to many category 3 hurricanes. The storm’s central pressure, as analyzed by the Ocean Prediction Center, is 953 mb. Estimated peak wave heights are around 25-30 feet.
Click source for more
See below for - How a Storm Became Big Enough to Span the Atlantic
by Douglas Main - wunderground.com
Tuesday, February 12th 2013, 1:12 AM EST
The further warnings WeatherAction issued to subscribers on Feb 8th of enhanced extreme blizzards and snow events both sides of Atlantic 13-17th Feb is repeated and made available to public via ClimateRealists.com by Agreement:
=> Britain+Ireland and Europe http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=11121=> USA (similar to special pdf to USA subscribers)
There will be snow-blizzard extreme events in N/ NE USA ~12/13-16/17th and these will be more extreme than standard forecasts from one day ahead.
In particular there will be more thundersnow and extreme local winds and snow-drifting. It will be largely colder than the 8-9Feb event.
The areas will not be quite the same as for 8-9Feb but where they overlap snow amounts may be similar. However snow amounts in the worst hit parts for 8-9th are unlikely to be exceeded because they depended on collision of differing air masses which ensured very large precipitation even though the solar factor was R3 rather than R5 coming (see article below). There is not such collision in this case but there will be plenty of Lake effect snow and the R5 will enhance snow amounts.
A snow jam of cars http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/65802000/jpg/_65802815_cars_snow_ap.jpg
Feb 10/11th "The ~Feb9th Blizzard NE USA - Evidence of the Solar-Lunar driver of weather and climate and the start of the new Mini Ice Age; NOTHING TO DO WITH CO2 - Current Weather Commentary.
Thursday, February 7th 2013, 6:31 PM EST
I noticed that the Proton Flux chart has taken an upturn today and although not as dramatic as some of the ones I have shown in the past, the Solar flare and location of the coronal hole from yesterday has certainly had it's influence on this.
This report from RT.com New England readies for historic storm, could well be the "Solar Climate Change" I was looking for to show a solar effect.
Ryan Maue (Major Nor'easter almost 100 knots at 900-hPa around equivalent Category 2 (but it's obviously not tropical))has mentioned that this storm has a lot of potential in respect of it's strength.
At the same time this event is occurring in the USA, there may well be a relocation of the Jet Stream in Western Europe over the weekend, giving a return to a milder flow of air to the UK in the next few days, as per the WeatherAction forecast for February.
This is another difficult call for Piers Corbyn to make, as there is a critical temperature for snow to fall, currently there would seem to be milder conditions edging into the West of England that would indicate rain instead of snow but it's not clear if in fact the Jet Stream will continue to ride further North and East at this stage, if it remains in the West then there will be snow in the North and East of the UK just as the Met Office have indicated. As you would expect Piers Corbyn and the Met Office differ on this weather scenario......stay tuned for more
63 articles foundshowing page 1 of 7« previous 1 2 3 4
. . . 6 7 next »