Articles Tagged "David Whitehouse"

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David Whitehouse: The Leaked AR5 Report And Global Temperature
Tuesday, December 18th 2012, 7:35 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentWhatever one’s view about the leaking of the draft IPCC AR5 report it does make fascinating reading, and given the public scrutiny it is now receiving it will be interesting to see what parts of it are changed when the final report is released in a year or so.

One part of it that should be changed is the section on global surface temperature data and its interpretation.

The analysis of global combined land and ocean surface temperature in AR5 is inadequate for what it admits is seen as the prime statistic of global warming. It is highly selective in the references it quotes and in the use of time periods which obscures important, albeit inconvenient, aspects of the temperature data. It is poorly drafted often making a strong assertion, and then somewhat later qualifying if not contradicting it by admitting its statistical insignificance. This leaves the door open for selective and incomplete quoting.

In Chapter 2 the report says that the AR4 report in 2007 said that the rate of change global temperature in the most recent 50 years is double that of the past 100 years. This is not true and is an example of blatant cherry-picking. Why choose the past 100 and the past 50 years? If you go back to the start of the instrumental era of global temperature measurements, about 1880 (the accuracy of the data is not as good as later years but there is no reason to dismiss it as AR5 does) then of the 0.8 – 0.9 deg C warming seen since then 0.5 deg C of it, i.e. most, occurred prior to 1940 when anthropogenic effects were minimal (according to the IPCC AR4).
Source Link: thegwpf.org/
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David Whitehouse: Climate Warmer 1000 Years Ago.
Wednesday, October 17th 2012, 5:44 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
A new paper, looking back at the climate of the past two thousand years, published in the journal “Climate of the Past,” will either cause something of a stir, or provide confirmation of what some regard as having already emerged from the peer-reviewed scientific literature. The title of the paper is, “The extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere temperature in the last two millennia: reconstructions of low-frequency variability,” by B Christiansen of the Danish Meteorological Institute and F C Ljungqvist of Stockholm University. The link to the journal is here, and the paper can be read in its entirety here.

The climate of the past few hundred years is of clear importance because it allows scientists to put today’s warm period into context, and provides some evidence of the influence of the quantity of greenhouse gasses that mankind has injected into the atmosphere. In much literature and during many debates statements to the effect that it is warmer now than it has been for thousands of years are frequently used.
Source Link: thegwpf.org
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David Whitehouse: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature As Warm In 1775 As Today
Thursday, October 18th 2012, 6:05 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentAnother piece of research using climate proxies has cast some light on the recent evolution of sea surface temperature in a region of the Atlantic.

The researchers, from the National University of Mexico and the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in the USA, writing in the journal Paleoceanography, point out that accurate low-latitude sea surface temperature records that predate the instrumental era (post-1850) are needed to put recent warming in the context of natural climate variability and to understand what they describe as the possible influence of anthropogenic climate change on this variability.

They obtain a most interesting 235-year-long sea surface temperature reconstruction based on annual growth rates of coral (Atlantic coral Siderastrea sidereal) at three sites in Mexico located within the Atlantic Warm Pool (AWP). The point out that AWP surface temperatures vary in concert the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) – a basin-wide, quasiperiodic (60–80 years) oscillation of North Atlantic sea surface temperatures.
Source Link: thegwpf.org
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Nicola Scafetta: The Theory Is Very Simple Q& A by David Whitehouse
Tuesday, May 29th 2012, 4:44 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Nicola Scafetta, is a scientist at Duke University and at the Active Cavity Radiometer Solar Irradiance Monitor Lab, which is associated with the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory in California. He claims "At least 60% of the warming of the Earth observed since 1970 appears to be induced by natural cycles which are present in the solar system.” As his theory is controversial we asked him to outline it. For the near future he predicts a stabilisation of global temperature or cooling until 2030-2040.

Q. What is your solar system cycles theory?

The theory is very simple in words. The solar system is characterized by a set of specific gravitational oscillations due to the fact that the planets are moving around the sun. Everything in the solar system tends to synchronize to these frequencies beginning with the sun itself. The oscillating sun then causes equivalent cycles in the climate system. Also the moon acts on the climate system with its own harmonics. In conclusion we have a climate system that is mostly made of a set of complex cycles that mirror astronomical cycles. Consequently it is possible to use these harmonics to both approximately hindcast and forecast the harmonic component of the climate, at least on a global scale. This theory is supported by strong empirical evidences using the available solar and climatic data.

The closest analogy is given by the harmonic model currently used to predict ocean tides.
Source Link: thegwpf.org/the-observatory
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David Whitehouse Wins BBC Climate Bet
Friday, January 13th 2012, 10:30 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
A climate bet proposed by the BBC's radio programme “More or Less” four years ago has been won by Dr David Whitehouse, a former BBC Science Editor and a scientific adviser to the Global Warming Policy Foundation.

In 2008, the BBC programme-makers came up with the idea of a bet. It was for £100 that, using the Met Office's data set (HadCrut3), there would be no new warming record set by 2011. It was made between Dr Whitehouse and climatologist Dr James Annan.

Later today, the BBC’s “More or Less” (16:30 on BBC Radio 4) will report about the outcome of the bet and announce the winner.

A full report of the scientific background to the bet is available here:

Winning A Climate Bet by Dr. David Whitehouse
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James Delingpole: Global warming: red-faced climatologist issues grovelling apology
Friday, January 13th 2012, 1:34 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentNot

I've just been listening to BBC Radio 4's More Or Less. It was the episode announcing that the Global Warming Policy Foundation's scientific adviser Dr David Whitehouse had won a £100 bet made on the programme four years ago with climatologist Dr James Annan. Annan predicted temperatures would rise in that period; Whitehouse predicted they wouldn't. Annan lost.

But you'd never guess it from his high-handed tone when he was asked why he'd lost. "Just bad luck," Annan explained, going on to insist (contradicting most available real-world data, it must be said) that the trend for global warming remained "robustly positive." He then agreed to another four-year bet. If it went against him a second time would he change his mind, Annan was asked. At first he appeared to agree that it would but then he started backtracking, insisting that it wouldn't change in the slightest his view that carbon dioxide causes global warming….

This "Even though I was wrong I'm still right" syndrome afflicts a lot of people in the climate alarmist community. But then, you can hardly blame them for their wilful self-delusion and glib complacency for they seem to operate in a bubble in which there are no punishments for failure.


Click source to read FULL report from James Delingpole
Source Link: blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole
David Whitehouse & Henrik Svensmark: The Cosmic-Ray/Cloud Seeding Hypothesis Is Converging With Reality
Saturday, September 3rd 2011, 12:10 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Dr Henrik Svensmark of the Danish National Space Centre in Copenhagen has pioneered the study of the effects of cosmic rays on cloud formation. The GWPF put a series of questions to him concerning the recent results from CERN’s CLOUD experiment.DW.

How significant are the CERN results?

I welcome the CLOUD results. They basically confirm our own experimental results since 2006, and does so within a larger variation of parameters. It seems to say that ions are fundamental for the nucleation of new aerosols.

Some in the media have said that the fact that CERN’s produced clusters that were too small spells the demise of the cosmic ray-cloud theory. What is your reaction?

Our group has closely studied the effect of cosmic rays on cloud formation, e.g. in our 2009 paper. Here the obvious question is what the implications are for clouds and the Earth’s clouds and radiative balance, which is indirectly posed at the end of the CLOUD paper, when it wonders what fraction of the small aerosols grow to cloud-seeding size.

This was also the question we asked following our own experiments. It turns out that this question can be answered with what one can call “natural experiments” where solar explosions (Coronal Mass Ejections) send out plasma clouds that shield the Earth and cause the cosmic ray flux to decrease within half a day. The largest events cause the cosmic ray ionization to decrease by about 10-15 %.
Source Link: thegwpf.org
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James Delingpole: Lying, cheating climate scientists caught lying, cheating again
Sunday, October 30th 2011, 3:58 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentOh dear. I really didn't want my first blog post in a week to be yet another one about global bloody warming. Problem is, if those lying, cheating climate scientists will insist on going on lying and cheating what else can I do other than expose their lying and cheating?

The story so far: ten days ago a self-proclaimed "sceptical" climate scientist named Professor Richard Muller of Berkeley University, California, managed to grab himself some space in the Wall Street Journal (of all places) claiming that the case for global warming scepticism was over. Thanks to research from his Berkeley Earth Surface Temperatures (BEST) project, Professor Muller stated confidently, we now know that the planet has warmed by almost one degree centigrade since 1950. What's more, he told the BBC's Today programme, there is no sign that this global warming has slowed down.

Cue mass jubilation from a number of media outlets which, perhaps, ought to have known better – among them, the Independent, the Guardian, The Economist and Forbes magazine. To give you an idea of their self-righteous indignation at the supposed ignorance of climate change deniers, here is the Washington Post's Eugene Robinson in full spate:

We know that the rise in temperatures over the past five decades is abrupt and very large. We know it is consistent with models developed by other climate researchers that posit greenhouse gas emissions — the burning of fossil fuels by humans — as the cause. And now we know, thanks to Muller, that those other scientists have been both careful and honorable in their work.

Nobody’s fudging the numbers. Nobody’s manipulating data to win research grants, as Perry claims, or making an undue fuss over a “naturally occurring” warm-up, as Bachmann alleges. Contrary to what Cain says, the science is real.
Source Link: blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole
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David Whitehouse: The 2012 Arctic Ice Melt – An Unusual Year
Tuesday, October 2nd 2012, 7:25 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Much has been written about the record low extent of Arctic sea ice this season. In July it stood at 7.94 million sq km – 2.12 million km below the 1979 – 2000 average, and in September it reached a record low of 3.14 million sq km.

When satellite monitoring of the Arctic ice began in 1979 it was clear that the data had caught a decline already in progress. There is some evidence that the decline may have been taking place since the 1950s, which is before the time that anthropogenic influences came into effect.

In the past few years it is possible that this roughly linear decline may have increased, or have reached a point whereby the behavior of the Arctic ice sheet has changed. 2007 was a record low year for ice extent and it may be that the ice melt-freeze cycle has become noisier. Figure 1.

Image Attachment
Source Link: thegwpf.org
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Reply to article: David Whitehouse: Ice And Fire In Climate Science: Updated by Piers Corbyn
Wednesday, April 11th 2012, 12:33 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
A wise tutor once told me that if something is written down in a scientific textbook it is probably true, but if it is published in a journal then put it on probation. It was good advice, especially when it comes to climate science. Many is the time that a particular paper, or indeed a suite of them from the same stable, is latched onto by one side or another as proving a point or winning an argument, sometimes paraded in the media as such, for subsequent papers published perhaps sometime later, to show that the original findings were not that clear cut. Science has run its self-correcting course though often advocates don’t keep up and remain quoting the original paper as though it was gospel. The moral is that, especially in climate science, look hard enough at almost any research paper and you will raise more questions than answers. It’s inevitable.

It’s with this attitude that I approach a recent paper in Nature by Shakun et al.


Updated below with MUST READ comments from Piers Corbyn and YouTube
Source Link: thegwpf.org/the-observatory
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