Articles Tagged "Solar News"

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NASA Deciphering the Mysterious Math of the Solar Wind by Karen C. Fox
Friday, February 22nd 2013, 10:49 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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A constant stream of particles and electromagnetic waves streams from the sun toward Earth, which is surrounded by a protective bubble called the magnetosphere. A scientist at NASA Goddard has recently devised, for the first time, a set of equations that can help describe waves in the solar wind known as Alfven waves. Credit: European Space Agency (ESA)

Many areas of scientific research -- Earth's weather, ocean currents, the outpouring of magnetic energy from the sun -- require mapping out the large scale features of a complex system and its intricate details simultaneously.

Describing such systems accurately, relies on numerous kinds of input, beginning with observations of the system, incorporating mathematical equations to approximate those observations, running computer simulations to attempt to replicate observations, and cycling back through all the steps to refine and improve the models until they jibe with what's seen. Ultimately, the models successfully help scientists describe, and even predict, how the system works.
Source Link: nasa.gov/mission_pages/sunearth/news
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2013, the year of the Solar Maxima!
Monday, January 28th 2013, 9:36 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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THE QUIET CONTINUES - SpaceWeather.com:

For the 8th day in a row, solar activity is very low. None of the sunspots on the Earthside of the sun is actively flaring. NOAA forecasters put the odds of an M-class solar flare today at no more than 5%.
Don Easterbrook: THE DEMISE OF SUNSPOTS—DEEP COOLING AHEAD? Guest post at WUWT
Friday, June 17th 2011, 6:51 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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THE DEMISE OF SUNSPOTS—DEEP COOLING AHEAD?

Don J. Easterbrook, Professor of Geology, Western Washington University, Bellingham, WA

The three studies released by NSO’s Solar Synoptic Network this week, predicting the virtual vanishing of sunspots for the next several decades and the possibility of a solar minimum similar to the Maunder Minimum, came as stunning news. According to Frank Hill

“the fact that three completely different views of the Sun point in the same direction is a powerful indicator that the sunspot cycle may be going into hibernation.”

The last time sunspots vanished from the sun for decades was during the Maunder Minimum from 1645 to 1700 AD was marked by drastic cooling of the climate and the maximum cold of the Little Ice Age.
Source Link: wattsupwiththat.com
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THE SUN DEFINES THE CLIMATE by Habibullo Abdussamatov, Dr. Sc. - Head of Space research laboratory of the Pulkovo Observatory
Tuesday, October 27th 2009, 2:52 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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(translated from Russian by Lucy Hancock)

Key Excerpts: Observations of the Sun show that as for the increase in temperature, carbon dioxide is “not guilty” and as for what lies ahead in the upcoming decades, it is not catastrophic warming, but a global, and very prolonged, temperature drop. [...] Over the past decade, global temperature on the Earth has not increased; global warming has ceased, and already there are signs of the future deep temperature drop. [...] It follows that warming had a natural origin, the contribution of CO2 to it was insignificant, anthropogenic increase in the concentration of carbon dioxide does not serve as an explanation for it, and in the foreseeable future CO2 will not be able to cause catastrophic warming. The so-called greenhouse effect will not avert the onset of the next deep temperature drop, the 19th in the last 7500 years, which without fail follows after natural warming. [...]
Source Link: gao.spb.ru
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Newsletter: The K7RA Solar Update 4th January
Saturday, January 5th 2013, 1:11 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
The New Year brings dreams of solar cycles of old, so distant now, sweetly remembered for their profusion of sunspots. We hear many times from operators who became licensed as teenagers at the peak of Solar Cycle 19, in the late 1950s, when a few watts and a modest radiator on 10 meters could span the globe every day and night.

If you were a teenaged ham at the peak of Solar Cycle 19, you looked forward to the next peak in activity, but were probably disappointed when Solar Cycle 20 peaked around 1969 with somewhat of a broader peak, but at a far lower level.

Solar Cycle 21 peaked around 1980, and was quite an improvement over the last cycle, as was Solar Cycle 22, which looked a lot like Solar Cycle 21. Cycle 22 peaked around 1991-1992, with a more pronounced double peak. The formerly teenaged ham was now solidly into middle age, and still wondering if sunspot activity would ever roar back to the levels of the late 1950s.

Solar Cycle 23 was another double peak, but significantly lower in 2000, 2001 and 2002 than the previous cycle, perhaps disappointing the middle-aged ham, who then sees solar activity slide into a long and low minimum over the next decade, in a way that was impossible to imagine as a teenaged ham enjoying Solar Cycle 19. The 160 meter operators -- quite happy in this situation with a much quieter Sun -- have no such longing for the active Sun of yesteryear.
Source Link: arrl.org/news/the-k7ra-solar-update-251
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MUST SEE VIDEO: Vast Island of Magnetism floating on the surface of the Sun
Saturday, November 24th 2012, 5:35 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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A sunspot, like AR1618, is a vast island of magnetism floating on the surface of the sun. Magnetic fields bubble up from the sun's interior to form the sunspot's dark cores much like a Pacific island forming from the lava of an undersea volcano. Phil Scherrer, a member of the Solar Dynamics Observatory science team at Stanford Unniversity, has prepared an 8-day movie showing the genesis of AR1618

A companion movie shows the region's magnetic development. In the movie, which Scherrer made using data from SDO's Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI), white denotes positive polarity, black denotes negative. Places with mixed polarities are where the magnetic fields can reconnect and erupt, producing solar flares.


Click source for MUST SEE VIDEO
Source Link: spaceweather.com
Tony Phillips: 2013 is only days away, and according to most forecasters, Solar Max should be approaching as well. But is it?
Friday, December 28th 2012, 5:18 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Perhaps Solar Max is already here--or maybe it has already passed. This plot of measured vs. predicted sunspot numbers illustrates the idea.

SOLAR CYCLE UPDATE: 2013 is only days away, and according to most forecasters, Solar Max should be approaching as well. But is it? Barely-increasing sunspot counts and anemic solar activity suggest an interesting possibility: Perhaps Solar Max is already here--or maybe it has already passed.

The blue curve traces monthly sunspot numbers measured since 2000. The red curve is the prediction of the NOAA-led Solar Cycle Prediction Panel. So far, Solar Cycle 24 is underperforming even compared to the panel's low expectations.

There is still a strong chance that Cycle 24 will rebound and peak in 2013 as expected. It might even be a double-peaked cycle like the cycle before it. As 2013 nears only one thing is certain: we don't know what will happen. Stay tuned....


See also: David Hathaway Forecasts
Source Link: spaceweather.com
P. Gosselin: PNAS Study Shows Powerful Correlation Between Sun And Climate Over The Last 9000 Years
Monday, May 7th 2012, 6:51 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Figure 1: Comparison of solar activity (blue curve) and the Asian climate development (green curve, delta 18O of a stalagmite in a Chinese cave) for the last 9000 years (both curves normalized). One clearly sees a good agreement between the two curves, which stgrongly suggests a significant climate impact by the sun. Figure from Steinhilber et al. (2012).

By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt
(Translation / editing by P Gosselin)

The IPCC thinks the sun plays nary a role on climate and that anthropogenic factors explain almost the entire warming since 1850.

It’s been completely ignored that Gerard Bond was able to show more than 10 years ago that the last 10,000 years have been characterized by a global temperature roller coaster that runs up and down in sync with solar activity (Bond et al. 2001).
Source Link: notrickszone.com
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THE ROLE OF THE SPOTLESS SUN
Friday, September 5th 2008, 6:33 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
THE ROLE OF THE SPOTLESS SUN
by Piers Corbyn

An exclusive interview with Piers Corbyn.

Most of us tend to think of the Sun as the key driver of climate change on Earth. In general we also tend to think in terms of an active Sun being responsible for weather extreme's and a calm Sun (spotless) with less of an influence to the Earth's weather system.

CO2Sceptics.Com put the following question to Astrophysicist and long range Weather Forecaster Piers Corbyn.

"How is it that we have a Spotless Sun and yet find the development of several Hurricanes in the Atlantic"?
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Conference on space weather reveals danger of solar winds by Olga Zakutnyaya
Tuesday, June 5th 2012, 3:55 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Moscow is holding an international conference on space weather and its effects on the Earth and human health.

The topic is highly controversial, as up until now there are many uncertainties concerning the driving mechanisms of solar-terrestrial relations. However, when it comes to space flights and further space exploration, one cannot deny the immense influence that space radiation will have on future space travelers.

Synchronized with the Sun

Weather forecasting is not a very old phenomenon. It originated back in the years of World War II, and bloomed thanks to the help of weather satellites. Space weather observations are even younger, as solar winds, the main factor that affects the changes the Sun is undergoing at any given moment, was discovered only in the late 1950s. Even though some hints on how the Sun is linked to the Earth had existed before, experimental observations – and thus studies of solar weather – began no earlier than space exploration.

The conference titled “Space Weather Effects on Humans in Space and on Earth” is currently being held by Moscow’s Space Research Institute, with around 200 participants from 11 countries, represented by both physicists and physicians, studying the effects of solar activity upon the Earth.
Source Link: english.ruvr.ru
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