Articles Tagged "Roy Spencer"

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Roy Spencer: The Al Gore Show: 24 Hours of Denying Reality
Monday, September 12th 2011, 2:52 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Maybe the best way to summarize the main message of this post is this:

There have been no weather events observed to date – including Hurricane Irene — which can be reasonably claimed to be outside the realm of natural climate variability.

Now, you can believe – as Al Gore claims – that the present warm period we are experiencing has caused more hurricanes, more tornadoes, too much rain, too little rain, too much snow, too little snow, etc., but those are matters of faith, not of observable scientific reality.

Until a month or so ago, we were near record lows in global tropical cyclone activity, after a precipitous 6-year drop following the most recent 2005 peak in activity


Image Attachment
Source Link: drroyspencer.com
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Steven Goddard: Dessler Hides The Decline
Friday, September 9th 2011, 3:00 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
As Steve McIntyre points out, Dessler cherry picked his data to get the result he wanted.

Most of us already knew that clouds block the sun and lower the temperature, but this is beyond the grasp of the climate science community.
Source Link: real-science.com
Roy Spencer: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly: My Initial Comments on the New Dessler 2011 Study
Thursday, September 8th 2011, 2:21 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentWhile we have had only one day to examine Andy Dessler’s new paper in GRL, I do have some initial reaction and calculations to share. At this point, it looks quite likely we will be responding to it with our own journal submission… although I doubt we will get the fast-track, red carpet treatment he got.

There are a few positive things in this new paper which make me feel like we are at least beginning to talk the same language in this debate (part of The Good). But, I believe I can already demonstrate some of The Bad, for example, showing Dessler is off by about a factor of 10 in one of his central calculations.

Finally, Dessler must be called out on The Ugly things he put in the paper.

1. THE GOOD

Estimating the Errors in Climate Feedback Diagnosis from Satellite Data


We are pleased that Dessler now accepts that there is at least the *potential* of a problem in diagnosing radiative feedbacks in the climate system *if* non-feedback cloud variations were to cause temperature variations. It looks like he understands the simple-forcing-feedback equation we used to address the issue (some quibbles over the equation terms aside), as well as the ratio we introduced to estimate the level of contamination of feedback estimates. This is indeed progress.
Source Link: drroyspencer.com
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James Delingpole: Obscure editor resigns from minor journal: why you should care
Tuesday, September 6th 2011, 7:10 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentCartoon by Josh

If you read Watts Up With That or Bishop Hill – or indeed, if you’re mad enough to take RealClimate or Daily Climate or the BBC seriously – you’ll know that the biggest ‘climate change’ story of the last few days has been the one about Wolfgang Wagner.

Who?

Well, yeah, quite. That was my immediate response. In fact I was quite tempted to write up the story with the headline: Incredibly Obscure Editor Of Magazine You’ve Never Heard Of Resigns Over Immeasurably Trivial Issue For No Apparent Reason.

There were several reasons for my lofty indifference.

1. It’s too esoteric.

2. I sensed there was more yet to emerge and I wasn’t going to bother till it did.

3. – and most important – when you write up stories like this you’re playing the enemy’s game. As I argue in Watermelons: the Green Movement’s True Colors, this is not – and never has been – a debate about science but about politics. So when you read the more zealous Alarmists crowing that they’ve found a mistake in a paper which blows an almighty hole in the “Sceptics’” case, you learn to take it with a pinch of salt.

So anyway, this story. The least interesting part of it is pretty much summed in that headline. A man named Wolfgang Wagner, editor-in-chief of a science journal called Remote Sensing decided to resign because he’d read on the internet that one of the papers he’d published – by climate sceptic Roy Spencer, et al – possibly had some flaws in it.
Source Link: blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole
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Opposing Views: Andrew Dessler's New Paper Debunks Both Roy Spencer And Richard Lindzen by Rob Painting & dana1981
Tuesday, September 6th 2011, 8:29 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
Figure 1: Dessler (2011) reconstruction of Spencer & Braswell's figure 3, showing relationship between top-of-atmosphere (TOA) net flux and surface temperature, as a function of lag between them. The blue line is the observational data chosen by Spencer and Braswell. The red lines show other available observational data. The shading represents the two-sigma uncertainty of two of the data sets. The black lines show climate model results. The black lines with crosses show the climate model runs chosen by Spencer and Braswell in their paper.

Andrew Dessler, a climate scientist at Texas A&M University, has released a scientific paper (Dessler 2011) that looks at the the claims made by two of a small group of "skeptic" climate scientists who regular SkS readers will be familiar with: Roy Spencer and Richard Lindzen. Both were co-authors on peer-reviewed papers released this year (Spencer & Braswell (2011) & Lindzen & Choi (2011)) which, once again, sought to overturn the orthodox view of climate. Dessler (2011) finds that the conclusions of these two papers are unsupported by observational data.

Spencer & Lindzen: Tipping reality on its head


The Spencer/Braswell and Lindzen/Choi papers have an unusual take on global warming: rather than warming causing a change in cloud cover (i.e. acting as a feedback to either increase or reduce warming), both papers claim that it's the other way around - changes in cloud cover cause changes in the surface temperature (in the present case, warming).
Source Link: skepticalscience.com
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Anthony Watts: Hot off the press: Dessler’s record turnaround time GRL rebuttal paper to Spencer and Braswell
Tuesday, September 6th 2011, 7:28 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
I’ve been given an advance copy, for which I’ve posted excerpts below. This paper appears to have been made ready in record time, with a turnaround from submission to acceptance and publication of about six weeks based on the July 26th publication date of the original Spencer and Braswell paper. We should all be so lucky to have expedited peer review service. PeerEx maybe, something like FedEx? Compare that to the two years it took to get Lindzen and Choi out the door. Or how about the WUWT story: “Science has been sitting on his [Spencer's] critique of Dessler’s paper for months”.

If anyone needs a clear, concise, and irrefutable example of how peer review in climate science is biased for the consensus and against skeptics, this is it.

I’m sure some thorough examination will determine if the maxim “haste makes waste” applies here for Dessler’s turbo treatise.

Cloud variations and the Earth’s energy budget

A.E. Dessler
Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences
Texas A&M University
College Station, TX
Source Link: wattsupwiththat.com
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Opposing Views: Journal editor resigns over 'problematic' climate paper by Richard Black, BBC News
Saturday, September 3rd 2011, 1:39 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentThe editor of a science journal has resigned after admitting that a recent paper casting doubt on man-made climate change should not have been published.

The paper, by US scientists Roy Spencer and William Braswell, claimed that computer models of climate inflated projections of temperature increase.

It was seized on by "sceptic" bloggers, but attacked by mainstream scientists.

Wolfgang Wagner, editor of Remote Sensing journal, says he agrees with their criticisms and is stepping down.

"Peer-reviewed journals are a pillar of modern science," he writes in a resignation note published in Remote Sensing.

"Their aim is to achieve highest scientific standards by carrying out a rigorous peer review that is, as a minimum requirement, supposed to be able to identify fundamental methodological errors or false claims.

"Unfortunately, as many climate researchers and engaged observers of the climate change debate pointed out in various internet discussion fora, the paper by Spencer and Braswell... is most likely problematic in both aspects and should therefore not have been published."


Click source to read FULL report from Richard Black

See also: Editor-in-Chief of Remote Sensing Resigns from Fallout Over Our Paper « Roy Spencer, Ph. D. http://bit.ly/qRvGRB

WUWT - BREAKING: Editor-in-chief of Remote Sensing resigns over Spencer & Braswell paper http://bit.ly/pIX2li

Paper Disputing Basic Science of Climate Change is "Fundamentally Flawed," Editor Resigns, Apologizes - Forbes http://onforb.es/qsZDUT
Source Link: bbc.co.uk
The (polar) bear facts, New York Post Editorial
Monday, August 15th 2011, 9:19 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
It was a cold month in hell for global-warming alarmists.

First came word last month that the Interior Department had suspended a top scientist who helped turn polar bears into a fuzzy white symbol of the climate-change movement: Think baby seals — but much, much bigger.

Then there arose further doubts about some critical global-warming data.

First, the bears: Researcher Charles Monnett is being probed over “integrity issues” linked to his 2006 paper that argued polar bears were drowning as rising temperatures melt ice caps.

He’s no small potatoes: Al Gore used Monnett’s work to manipulative effect in his film “An Inconvenient Truth.” And the paper led directly to the 2008 classification of the bears as a “threatened” species, whose survival is allegedly at risk due to global warming.

Of course, even the data on warming are suspect, as a study published last month in the journal Remote Sensing shows.

The study looked at NASA satellite data from 2000 to 2011 and found that the atmosphere has been releasing far more heat into space than warming models predicted.

That’s key: Alarmists say carbon-dioxide emissions trap heat in the atmosphere, triggering dangerous climate changes. But satellite observations “suggest there is much more energy lost to space . . . than the climate models show,” the study found.
Source Link: nypost.com/p/news/opinion/editorials
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Opposing Views: Reply to article. Global Warming: Fox News Separates Fact From Fiction by Bill Chameides, Huffington Post
Friday, August 12th 2011, 6:36 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
A reply to the article MUST SEE VIDEO LINK: Fox's Huddy Falsely Claims Skeptic's Questionable Study "Seems To Debunk" That Global Warming Is "Man-Made"

For the record, it should be noted that Fox News is not my primary outlet for keeping abreast of the news. So normally I wouldn't have seen this August 6 "Fox and Friends" piece on global warming (sorry -- you'll have to view a commercial to see it). But the media watchdog group Media Matters for America contacted me for my comments on it. So I figured I'd watch and what I saw compelled my comments here.

Out of the Gate: Fox Takes on Climate

Fox News called the three-and-a-half-minute segment "Climate Change Myths: Separating Fact From Fiction" -- an apt name because as far as the science is concerned, there's very little that could be characterized as fact, and a whole lot that could pass for fiction.

The segment was pegged to a new NASA study which, in their words, "seems to debunk whether [global warming] is actually manmade." Since that paper [pdf] (by Roy Spencer and William Braswell) has been pretty thoroughly debunked in places like RealClimate and ClimateProgress, I will focus on the rest of the segment.

Next up was a Rasmussen poll finding that 69 percent of Americans believe scientists have lied to support their theories about global warming. Viewers, I suspect, are intended to receive this result as an indictment of global warming science. But hold on a minute. Suppose you're convinced that global warming is "manmade" and that skeptics are cooking the books to advance their viewpoint, would you not answer yes to that question? And so I'm not at all sure what this poll means.
Source Link: huffingtonpost.com
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MUST SEE VIDEO LINK: Fox's Huddy Falsely Claims Skeptic's Questionable Study "Seems To Debunk" That Global Warming Is "Man-Made"
Thursday, August 11th 2011, 6:18 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image Attachment

Click source for MUST SEE VIDEO LINK

Updated below with more comments from Joe Bastardi
Source Link: mediamatters.org/mmtv
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