Articles Tagged "UK Winter Forecast 2012/13"
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Friday, January 25th 2013, 11:19 AM EST
After reading John O'Sullavans Blundering British Met Office Now forecast Nations "Coldest Thaw" I thought I would try and keep track of this forecast, best of luck Piers.
Above latest Met Office forecast for widespread snow cover in the UK for Today and Tomorrow (Saturday 26th January) indicates....according to the Met office.....a thaw will take place very soon as there is a very warm weather system coming to the UK and starting from Sunday there will some heavy rain and warmer temperatures?
Piers is not so sure they have this correct as there is not much mobility going on, and the Atlantic front due to hit the UK does not look as if will pass through from West to the East of the UK in the way the Met Office have forecast......more to follow.
See below latest forecast for Sunday 27th January
Thursday, January 24th 2013, 4:46 PM EST
The cold snap is expected to 'go out with a bang' tomorrow as up to a foot of snow is expected to fall and much of the country will receive a final blanketing.
The Met Office has put out amber and yellow warnings for much of Scotland, the north of England, east of England and East and West Midlands, with yellow warnings in Wales, south west England and London and the South East.
It warned that strong winds will also lead to drifting and blizzard-like conditions, particularly over higher level roads in the north. Head of special operations Darron Burness said: 'It looks likely that the current cold spell will go out with a bang tomorrow....click source to read FULL Daily Mail report
Also read this report from John O'Sullivan Blundering British Met Office Now forecast Nations "Coldest Thaw"
Thursday, January 24th 2013, 10:05 AM EST
There are warnings of further snow in the UK on Friday, as the weather continues to cause disruption in parts of the country.
The Met Office has issued an amber warning of snow, meaning be prepared, across eastern Scotland, northern England and the Midlands.
In addition, rain and melting snow are expected to lead to rising water levels in rivers in south-west England.
The Environment Agency has two flood warnings and over 30 alerts in place.
Forecasters are warning of heavy rain in south-west, central, northern and western England, Northern Ireland, eastern Wales and the southern half of Scotland during Thursday and Friday which, combined with snow melt, could cause flooding.
Thursday, January 24th 2013, 9:51 AM EST
Only time will tell how the Met Office weekend weather outlook for an end of the cold weather in the UK, issued on the 23rd January is made to look rather silly. But one thing is for sure, there were TWO Erupting Filaments of Solar Magnetism on the Sun yesterday, and these changes to the Met Office forecast for MORE SNOW and NOT LESS and the very intense Atlantic storm coming to the UK in the next 24 hours could well be related to the recent events on the Sun.
I Had a look at the same period using the WeatherAction.com forecast issued late December, and Piers was confident that the colder conditions would continue for the UK, and yes, he seems to have that part correct, but as far as the huge storm coming our way, I can only guess that the Sun produced something even Piers did not foresee at the end of last month.
But having said that, he has updated his website in regard to this change...more to follow
Latest from SpaceWeather.com FILAMENT ERUPTIONS: Two long filaments of solar magnetism erupted yesterday, Jan. 23rd, hurling bright coronal mass ejections into space... A second CME sailed high over the sun's north pole: image. Earth was not in the line of fire of either eruption...These events show that sunspots are not required for solar activity. Neither of the filaments that erupted yesterday were rooted in a sunspot's dark core....click SpaceWeath.com link for more [VIDEO].
See below WeatherAction.com chart for this period and note the temperature forecast.
Thursday, January 24th 2013, 7:43 AM EST
Freezing weather gradually eases in the UK, Met Office 23rd January - Met Office forecasters are predicting that the cold weather will continue until the weekend, with some very cold nights in store.
Met Office Severe Weather Warnings have been issued for the ice and snow. Yellow warnings are in place across parts of the UK, and the public are advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts and warnings and plan ahead if they are travelling. Met Office weather warnings help you plan, prepare and protect yourself and others from the impacts of severe weather.
Paul Gundersen, Met Office Chief Forecaster, said: "The weather will stay very cold, but mostly dry through the rest of the week with severe frosts and patchy fog at night continuing to make it very icy.
"Everyone should continue to be aware of severe weather over the next few days and should plan ahead to take account of possible travel delays or disruption."
Darron Burness, the AA's Head of Special Operations, says: "With freezing conditions set to continue till the weekend, ice is going to be the biggest ongoing hazard over the next few days. Even if your car's thermometer shows the air temperature above freezing, bear in mind that the ground takes longer to thaw out, so ice is still a risk. Wherever you're travelling this week, stick to the gritted main roads where possible and check the Met Office weather alerts and traffic reports before departing."
See below latest forecast issued one day later (24th January): Now Updated with NEW Met Office forecast and an out of date Media report issued TODAY!
Thursday, January 24th 2013, 7:18 AM EST
Examination of successions of forecast maps for Sat 26th and Sun 27th from MetOffice, GFS and ECMWF models show them back-peddling on their much heralded major warm-up.
"We warned they were overstating this event", said Piers Corbyn of WeatherAction, "There is just not enough solar-wind input coming to make the change they expect and our lunar and geomagnetic factors are against. A look at http://spaceweather.com/archive.php?month=01&day=23&year=2013&view=view confirms the very low levels of activity we predicted for now from over 5 weeks ahead. Something will happen, indeed our forecast said so, but not much - and qualitively weaker, compared to their projections. This is yet another blunder in a series of major errors this winter in forecasting from only a few days ahead for Britain/Ireland, Europe and the USA where there have also been very major errors recently.
"Of course standard meteorology has no comprehension of what we are talking about and as long as it remains wedded to the delusional nonsense of CO2 warmism and 'weather drives weather' tenets of computer forecasting they will never learn. Admission that solar activity is the decisive driver of weather especially extreme events and of climate change - a fact which our success demonstrates - spells the end of the CO2 warmist religion and the electricity price hikes, taxes and green handout gravy train that it brings.
"It also means that however many millions or billions, are spent on extra computer power for the juggernaut of standard warmist meteorology thay will never improve but only get wrong answers quicker and mislead the public more often. Politicians must now get to grips with reality, cast aside the CO2 warmist sect of BBC-MetO and the so called 'Climate-Science' empire in academia and instead support accountable evidence-based science and policies"
Thursday, January 24th 2013, 7:04 AM EST
MORE heavy snow and even colder temperatures prompted officials to last night issue a near nationwide health alert.
An intense deluge tomorrow will dump up to six inches in parts as temperatures plunge below -20C (-4F) in exposed regions.
The Met Office has severe weather warnings for heavy snow across most of the UK with northern regions expected to be worst hit.
It issued a level-3 Cold Weather Health Alert across England warning of an increased health risk for elderly and vulnerable people.
A week of wintry downpours has already left huge swathes of the country under inches of snow with lows of -13C (8.6F) recorded in Norfolk.
Government forecasters warned another six inches could settle on high ground tomorrow with four likely elsewhere.
They said bitter cold gales will whip lying snow into deep drifts leading to more chaos on the roads and transport networks.
Met Office forecaster Sarah Holland said: “The worst of the snow on Friday is expected in the North although there are showers forecast elsewhere including the South-east and London.
Source Link: express.co.uk
Thursday, January 24th 2013, 6:48 AM EST
Click source for bigger image
Monday, January 21st 2013, 3:13 PM EST
Astrophysicist and weather expert, Piers Corbyn who runs WeatherAction.com, has been uncannily accurate so far this winter. Londoner Corbyn produces long-range weather forecasts so good that they never cease beating and baffling Britain’s gigantic £200 million-a-year official weather forecaster, the Met Office.
What is truly remarkable is that the details for Corbyn’s daring January 2013 forecast were made 45 days ahead, a task beyond the competency of “traditional” methods. In the early part of this winter this mild-mannered and avuncular upstart had already made fools of the Met Office (MO) for their “Beast from the East” scare. The MO flunked badly while Corbyn’s bold prediction for a mild early winter proved totally accurate.
On January 10, 2013 The Daily Express front page quoted Piers Corbyn when some standard forecasters started to see WeatherAction’s very icy blasts and blizzards coming (see graphic). However although WeatherAction’s very cold weather soon came Met models still dithered about heavy snow / blizzards until they were almost upon us and, lo and behold, on January 15, 2013 there was a dramatic switch towards copycatting WeatherAction – again. Perhaps some bright spark at the MO has decided to sign up to Corbyn’s paid services, at a tiny fraction of the cost of the heavily taxpayer-subsidized misfits.
Sunday, January 20th 2013, 4:29 PM EST
Great Headline from the BBC, click source for more:)