Filament Eruption- SpaceWeather.com: Solar activity is low, but not zero. During the early hours of Feb. 13th, a magnetic filament erupted near the sun's SW limb. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the blast.
The extreme UV movie shows the filament flinging itself into space followed by the formation of a "canyon of fire" marking the channel formerly occupied by the filament. The glowing walls of the canyon are formed in a process closely related to that of arcade loops, which appear after many solar flares.
As erupting magnetic filaments often do, this one launched a coronal mass ejection (CME) into space. NASA's STEREO-A spacecraft spotted the expanding cloud, which does not appear to be heading for Earth or any other planet...click source for more [VIDEO Link]
We will have to see if there is a M6.5+ Earthquake that follows this event
As expect in our blog yesterday we have a Tropical Storm that has "powered up" to a CAT1 Cyclone. Looking at the latest projection from TropicalStormRisk.com "Gino" should hit CAT2 any time soon indicating a high level of Solar Activity in the Earth's system, and just by a strange coincidence the timing of this event should fall inside the Piers Corbyn "R5" period, 13th - 17th February.
Tropical Storms have been used to display an Earthly presence of Solar Activity on this site for over a year, each time we have shown this indicator the media and science community have fallen over themselves to contact Piers Corbyn about his forecasting methods but It would appear they don't have his contact details
I suggest they go to his web site WeatherAction.com and interview him before he dies of old age and the secret of Solar Activity and climate change is lost forever....more to follow
This is what they state as of today, and remember it was only yesterday (Monday) they made a short range prediction up to Wednesday, and now it's falling into line with the WeatherAction.com forecast produced on the 8th February (yes, last Friday)
Issued at: 0838 on Tue 12 Feb 2013
There is a 90% probability of severe cold weather/icy conditions/snow between 0800 on Tuesday and 0800 on Thursday in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action....click above Met Office link to read latest Amber warning report
The further warnings WeatherAction issued to subscribers on Feb 8th of enhanced extreme blizzards and snow events both sides of Atlantic 13-17th Feb is repeated and made available to public via ClimateRealists.com by Agreement:
There will be snow-blizzard extreme events in N/ NE USA ~12/13-16/17th and these will be more extreme than standard forecasts from one day ahead.
In particular there will be more thundersnow and extreme local winds and snow-drifting. It will be largely colder than the 8-9Feb event.
The areas will not be quite the same as for 8-9Feb but where they overlap snow amounts may be similar. However snow amounts in the worst hit parts for 8-9th are unlikely to be exceeded because they depended on collision of differing air masses which ensured very large precipitation even though the solar factor was R3 rather than R5 coming (see article below). There is not such collision in this case but there will be plenty of Lake effect snow and the R5 will enhance snow amounts.
There is an 90% probability of severe cold weather/ icy conditions between 0800 on Monday and 0900 on Wednesday in parts of England.
This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action....Click above Met Office WeatherAlert lick for more.
As you can see from the latest WeatherAction.com "Red Warning" chart, above, we have an "R5" event in a few days (13th - 16th February) indicating there is a higher then average chance for storm enhancements from solar activity and the changes you will see will be driven by new Sudden "Polar Lower" Stratospheric Warming....more to follow
I noticed that the Proton Flux chart has taken an upturn today and although not as dramatic as some of the ones I have shown in the past, the Solar flare and location of the coronal hole from yesterday has certainly had it's influence on this.
At the same time this event is occurring in the USA, there may well be a relocation of the Jet Stream in Western Europe over the weekend, giving a return to a milder flow of air to the UK in the next few days, as per the WeatherAction forecast for February.
This is another difficult call for Piers Corbyn to make, as there is a critical temperature for snow to fall, currently there would seem to be milder conditions edging into the West of England that would indicate rain instead of snow but it's not clear if in fact the Jet Stream will continue to ride further North and East at this stage, if it remains in the West then there will be snow in the North and East of the UK just as the Met Office have indicated. As you would expect Piers Corbyn and the Met Office differ on this weather scenario......stay tuned for more
A close-up of the blast site shows an inky-dark plume of plasma spiralling away from the explosion. The darkness of the material is a sign that it was extra-dense and cool relative to the surrounding atmosphere of the sun.
DOUBLE ERUPTION (UPDATED) - SpaceWeather.com: Sunspot AR1667 erupted this morning (Feb. 6th @ 00:21 UT), producing a double-peaked C9-class solar flare that lasted more than ten hours from beginning to end.
The slowly-unfolding explosion also hurled two CMEs into space. The clouds are not heading directly for Earth, but they could deliver glancing blows to our planet's magnetic field on Feb. 9-10. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras this weekend
Below is an awesome video capturing the C8.7 solar flare around Sunspot 1667. During the eruption, a blob of plasma above the blast site is captured spinning like a Tornado vortex. Most of us Sun lovers hope for X-Class solar flares, however even a C-Class flare can be fascinating. A slow motion version is also included.
EARTH-DIRECTED ERUPTION - SpaceWeather.com: The magnetic canopy of decaying sunspot AR1667 erupted this morning (Feb. 6th @ 00:21 UT), producing a long duration C9-class solar flare and hurling a coronal mass ejection (CME) into space. According to first-look images from NASA's STEREO-B spacecraft, the CME appears to be heading in the general direction of Earth...click SpaceWeather.com link for Video link