Articles Tagged "Cause & Effect"

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Statement: Hurricane "Sandy" and Blizzard "Nemo" have SAME "Cause & Effect" Scenario
Friday, February 8th 2013, 6:47 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Many of you have emailed me about the recent Piers Corbyn R5+ Solar/Lunar forecast saying the results were so similar between Hurricane "Sandy" and Blizzard "Nemo" that we should put out a statement of some sort.

In principal I agree with that request, but the reality is people will not comprehend what it is we are informing them about.

In our Statement: Solar Climate Change and Hurricane "Sandy" dated 1st November we put forward that a top level Solar/Lunar period, an R5+, was extended due to longer then expected burst of solar activity, and as a result there was a M7.7 Earthquake in Canada and Hurricane "Sandy" that formed in the Atlantic, she then went to the North East of the USA and hit the East coast, the rest as they say is history.

This week we had another extended R5+ period that was also due to longer then expected solar activity, that ALSO had a very high rated Earthquake (M8) and another formation of "super storm" in the Atlantic that has now run along the North East of USA. And yet the worlds media, and sadly this also includes Anthony Watts at WUWT who runs a skeptical scientific website for people who only share his version of skeptical views, will pay not attention to what we have had to say about the events of this week.

It is regret to those who have noticed this similarity in events between the last four months that what you have seen during live experiments is not worthy for the public domain yet. I guess the world is not ready for the revelation that our Sun and our Moon control the Earth's climate, and oh how at time like this I wish we had funding like other skeptical web sites.

Its thanks to the worlds media and sadly as already mentioned, that includes Anthony Watts, these two similar stories of two Major Atlantic storms and two Major Earthquakes will not be promoted.

The discovery made by Piers Corbyn about how our climate works in conjunction with the Sun and Moon will remain a secret to only those with open minds
Spot The Deliberate Mistake: What is a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW)? by Met Office
Tuesday, January 8th 2013, 6:29 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentYou may have heard talk of the UK possibly seeing some colder weather next week and that ‘things going on’ in the upper atmosphere may be playing a part.

The ‘thing’ happening in the atmosphere is known as Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW). When it does happen, it attracts a lot of interest in the UK because it is sometimes linked to the onset of cold weather in winter.

Here we shed a little bit more light on the phenomenon.

What is an SSW?

The term SSW refers to what we observe – rapid warming (up to about 50 ­°C in just a couple of days) in the stratosphere, between 10 km and 50 km up.

You may have heard of the jet stream which helps to steer Atlantic weather systems towards the UK. Well there are other jet streams high up in our atmosphere in both the northern and southern hemisphere which circumnavigate the Earth from west to east. One of these, the Polar Night Jet, circles the Arctic.
Source Link: metofficenews.wordpress.com
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A Graph to Debunk AGW: Willis Eschenbach: Does The Effect From The Cause Affect The Cause?
Friday, January 4th 2013, 2:05 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image Attachment

Figure 1. Temperature and CO2 variations as per the cited data sources. Temperature variations have been divided by 2, as discussed in the text. Graph ends at 1950, most recent CO2 data is from about 2,300 years ago. Maximum temperature during the previous interglacial was about a degree and a half warmer than 1950. Photograph shows that Photo Source http://dxing.at-communication.com/en/ri1anc_vostok-base_antarctica/

There’s been a recent paper claiming a long-term correlation between CO2 and sea level, discussed here at WUWT. The paper implies that CO2 controls temperature and thus indirectly sea level. I thought I might follow up the comments on that thread by looking at what the ice core records actually tell us about variations in CO2. There is plenty of dispute about the ice core records, but I don’t want to touch on that here, that’s a separate discussion. Instead, let me take the ice core records as given and see where that leads us. Figure 1 shows the Vostok ice core CO2 and temperature variations.
Source Link: wattsupwiththat.com
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Solar Climate Change: The Moon does it and NewScientist says so, so it must be true!
Sunday, May 20th 2012, 7:00 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
The following report from NewScientist.com has our old friends "Cause" and "Effect" the wrong way around as they have not included the Sun's Solar Wind with the "Lunar Forcing" article. This time Michael Marshall has gone outside the Earth to look for an answer to Earthquakes...GR

Monitoring tides could predict major quakes - Michael Marshall - newscientist.com

THE rise and fall of the tides could help us to predict major earthquakes like the magnitude 9 quake that triggered Japan's tsunami last year.

Sachiko Tanaka of the National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention in Tsukuba, Japan, says that as stresses build up in the Earth's crust, it becomes more susceptible to minor earthquakes triggered by tidal forces, a sign of major quakes to come. She has spent over a decade amassing evidence for her theory. According to her latest results, tidally triggered earthquakes were rife off the north-east coast of Japan for several years before 2011's massive earthquake.

"I read hundreds of earthquake prediction papers," says Ross Stein of the United States Geological Survey in Menlo Park, California. "The vast majority is dry rot. Tanaka's stands out. It could be very important."
Source Link: newscientist.com
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Is the start of the record cold May in the UK and Northern Europe down to the "Super Moon" or is it just a coincidence?
Tuesday, May 1st 2012, 9:06 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentGoogle Image link - Super Moon - Wikipedia

Those of you who are following the climatic developments for the start of a record Cold May in the UK and in Northern Europe this weekend, should take note of another factor coming into play at the same time, and that's "Lunar Forcing". It could be just a coincidence, but this is also the start of a "Super Moon" period.

I suspect Piers Corbyn has included this factor into his recent calculation, as to how much weight for it is contained in the "record cold May" forecast we will never know.

The criticism the Met Office have with Piers Corbyn's work is that they want to know how he calculates his long range weather forecasts, as they can't do it beyond a few days. They conclude from that, if they can't produce a long range forecast nobody else can do it either, but as your see from the May results, Piers will not be that far out from what he stated in mid April!

Here is a fact from inventions, when you invent a unique product to sell on the market you can leave others to simply guess what is in the contents, afterall, how many of you know what is inside a bottle Coca Cola or a Pepsi.
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Was the USA’s record warm March 2012 caused by “global warming”? - Whats Wrong With That?
Monday, April 16th 2012, 4:14 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Those of you who have read the recent blog from WUWT may not have noticed that the article has missed a trick about the USA’s record warm March 2012.

There WAS some “global warming" and the "Cause & Effect" was there to be seen by NASA but NOT Anthony Watts and Roy Spencer!

Anthony and Roy, just like the UK Met Office & NOAA mix up "Cause with the "Effect" often, stating the "Cause" of any warming during March was from the Earth and it's Oceans. The "Cause" of "Climate Change" from March was from the "Effect" of the Sun's "solar wind". It's the "Effect" of the solar wind that changed the Earth's climate in that period. The way Anthony and Roy have put their article together misses this point, they make a case for the "Effect" being the "Cause"!

And here it is the "Cause" of the March warming as per this YouTube from Nasa:

ScienceCasts: The Surprising Power of a Solar Storm - YouTube link

Spot the deliberate mistake: When Is CO2 the "Effect" and the "Cause" of the Earth Warming?
Wednesday, April 4th 2012, 5:47 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
CLICK to read BBC above report CO2 'drove end to last ice age'
by Jonathan Amos, Science correspondent, BBC News

See below link to the TV Documentary "The Great Global Warming Swindle" and listen to what is said about CO2 "following" the Earth warming.

We have been here before and no doubt be here again........over the long term, an active Sun warms the Earth and equally over a long term an inactive Sun cools the Earth. When the Earth cools, the co2 returns back to the oceans and ice, and when the Earth warms the co2 returns back to the atmosphere from the Oceans and ice. It's a cycle that has been repeated many times before and will be repeated over and over again, long after the BBC and Nature have been removed from repeating the "effect" being the "cause" again!

What is being said in the latest report is that co2 somehow makes the Sun active!!!
.......GR
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The Met Office: What’s causing the warm weather in the UK?: Updated by Piers Corbyn
Tuesday, March 27th 2012, 10:41 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Temperatures continue to break records across parts of the UK. Cromdale in Moray reached 23.2 deg C on Monday breaking the record set the day before for the warmest March day in Scotland.

Following on from our post yesterday ‘Why is it so warm?‘ we have put together a video explaining the meteorological reasons behind this fine spring weather. We also provide an outlook for the rest of the week.

What's causing the warm weather in the UK? - MetOffice YouTube



Updated below with MUST READ comments from Piers Corbyn
Source Link: metofficenews.wordpress.com
True Fact: The Lack of Pirates Is Causing Global Warming by Erika Andersen
Friday, March 23rd 2012, 6:28 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
You can see that as the number of pirates in the world has decreased over the past 130 years, global warming has gotten steadily worse. In fact, this makes it entirely clear that if you truly want to stop global warming, the most impactful thing to do is — become a pirate....

....So, when someone proposes a cause and effect relationship between two things – reduction in pirates causing global warming; Obama creating the global economic crisis; young people ruining American business – ask for the data that shows they’re related, rather than simply that they’re happening at the same time.

But if you’re dead set on becoming a pirate, I’m not going to stop you.

Click source to read FULL report from Erika Andersen
Source Link: forbes.com/sites/erikaandersen
Anthony Bright-Paul: Effects and Causes
Monday, March 12th 2012, 6:15 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
My Dear Rachman, While woken from a deep slumber I found it difficult to follow your grasshopper mind, as it ranged from Cause and Effect, to Global Warming, swooped down to the Antarctic, flew up to the Arctic and the North West passage, then on to your swim in the cold Irish Sea. Was this cold dip meant to contradict the Gulf Stream?

Now let us deal first with your argument that an Effect can become a Cause. Your example was that if you biffed me on the nose the resulting pain might cause me to become angry. I am afraid, old friend, that you would not pass an exam for logic. The blow is the cause and it can have multiple effects. The pain and the anger are equally results from your hypothetical foul action. Nevertheless this is a fallacy that besets nearly all the Alarmists, and sadly not a few Sceptics. So many find it difficult to distinguish between Cause and Effect, the chief culprit being Vice President Al Gore.
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