21 February 2013 - Human influence on global climate contributed to the causes of the 2011 East Africa drought, according to new research by the Met Office.
Millions of people in the region required emergency food aid after the failure of two rainy seasons - the 'short rains' (typically October to December) of 2010 and 'long rains' (March to June) of 2011.
Researchers used cutting edge 'climate change attribution' techniques to quantify how the probability of these two unusually dry rainy seasons may have changed as a result of human influence on climate.
Dr. Fraser Lott, an Attribution Scientist at the Met Office and lead author on the paper, said: "We found that the particularly dry short rains in 2010 were most likely caused by natural variability. However, the chances of long rains as dry, or drier, as those of 2011 were found to have increased due to human influence."
The study used state of the art modelling techniques to see how likely the weather patterns that led to the drought were. They looked at both a world with mankind's influence on climate, as well as 'the world that might have been' without manmade greenhouse gas emissions.
There is a 70% probability of severe cold weather between 0000 on Wednesday and 0800 on Friday in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action.
Turning colder across all areas by Wednesday as an easterly wind regime develops across England. Widespread overnight frosts are expected with a few light snow showers likely over some eastern parts of England from Thursday. However, at this stage, disruptive accumulations of snow are not expected.
Take a look below at what Piers Corbyn informed his WeatherAction.com customers at the START OF FEBRUARY - Also updated with Media Link
Much of the UK will be covered with a thick blanket of snow today as a weather system from the Atlantic sweeps in bringing up to 6in (15cm) in places.
The Met Office has issued severe weather warnings for much of Scotland and northern England for today, advising people to be careful in the icy conditions and low temperatures.......It is further proof that spring could still be a long way off as forecasters warn Britain faces another month of Arctic conditions.
The snow is caused by a band of rain moving in from the Atlantic early today will turn into snow across much of England and Scotland.
Nick Prebble, a forecaster with MeteoGroup, the weather division of the Press Association, said: 'There will be snow across much of England and Scotland, and it will settle through the Midlands, the North and Scotland....Helen Roberts of the Met Office said: ‘It will be drier but colder for the next 30 days. If there is any precipitation it is more likely to fall as snow.’...click source for more inc. great photo's
This is what they state as of today, and remember it was only yesterday (Monday) they made a short range prediction up to Wednesday, and now it's falling into line with the WeatherAction.com forecast produced on the 8th February (yes, last Friday)
Issued at: 0838 on Tue 12 Feb 2013
There is a 90% probability of severe cold weather/icy conditions/snow between 0800 on Tuesday and 0800 on Thursday in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action....click above Met Office link to read latest Amber warning report
There is an 90% probability of severe cold weather/ icy conditions between 0800 on Monday and 0900 on Wednesday in parts of England.
This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action....Click above Met Office WeatherAlert lick for more.
THE heaviest snowfall for three years is expected to blanket Britain over the next 48 hours
Blizzards are set to sweep across the country with chaos expected on roads and transport networks. Up to a foot of snow is likely in places as the harshest weather since the big freeze of 2010 strengthens its icy grip. Government forecasters issued severe weather warnings for much of the country from tomorrow evening and through Monday.
The North and Scotland are expected to be worst hit but the East Midlands will also bear the brunt and parts of the South could get snow too.
The Met Office yesterday said it is possible the yellow alert will be ramped up to a more serious amber warning over the weekend.
It has extended a cold weather health alert until Tuesday after fears that extreme cold may pose a risk to the elderly and vulnerable.
On the roads, hundreds of gritters are on standby to go out “in force” as the full thrust of the Arctic blast takes hold tomorrow night with temperatures possibly falling to as low as -10C (14F).
Forecaster Sarah Holland said: “It is going to be very unsettled on Sunday and even if you don’t get snow you will see heavy rain.
On Sunday night temperatures are due to drop below zero and as well as snow it is going to be very icy.
“There is the risk of disruption on Monday morning and people should keep up to date with forecasts and travel updates.”
07 February 2013 - The Met Office welcomes the Royal Academy of Engineering report on Space Weather, the UK's first in-depth study of the impacts of space weather.
The report concludes that whilst the space weather risk can be engineered out of many systems, there is a still a need for real-time alerting and forecasting of space weather to help minimise the risks it poses.
The UK Government has already made an investment in the development of a space weather prediction capability within the Met Office's existing scientific and forecasting capabilities.
Mark Gibbs, Met Office Space Weather Business Manager, said: "Space weather is a relatively immature science but understanding is growing rapidly and here at the Met Office we are working with National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Centre in the US. This collaboration aims to enable both organisations to accelerate the development of improved space weather models and prediction systems to make more effective use of space weather data."
Through this work the Met Office is currently developing a real-time space weather warning service on behalf of the UK.
08 February 2013 - After a chilly week with some snow across eastern parts of the UK, Met Office forecasters are expecting more substantial snow to affect many places on Sunday and Monday.
As we head through the weekend, an area of low pressure will draw cold air from the north-east across the country. On Sunday, rain will hit the cold air and give snow for many, especially for central and northern areas of the UK.
Met Office Severe Weather Warnings are in force catering for as much as 10 cm in places but there is still some uncertainty as to where the worst affected areas will be.
Met Office weather warnings help you plan, prepare and protect yourself and others from the impacts of severe weather.
Eddy Carroll, Met Office Chief Forecaster, said: "Even at this short timescale there is currently a lot of uncertainty about the extent of the rain, sleet and snow later this weekend. People should stay up-to-date with the latest forecasts and warnings and be prepared for some disruption to travel."