Articles Tagged "Stephen Wilde"

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Our Saviour - The Hydrological Cycle by Stephen Wilde
Friday, July 17th 2009, 3:23 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentExtra CO2 in the air from human sources is supposed to put us on a route to catastrophe but the message is a bit garbled.

Some say the extra CO2 heats the air and that is enough to do the trick. Others accept (correctly) that that is unlikely due to the thermal inertia of our oceans and their cooling effect on the air so they propose an ‘ocean skin’ theory whereby warming of the topmost molecules on the ocean surface from extra downwelling infra red radiation from extra human CO2 in the air is supposed to reduce the natural energy flow from sea to air so that the oceans get warmer and then heat the air and kill us off that way.

The term ‘ocean skin’ is rather a misnomer because in reality the area of interaction between air and water is a haze of mixed water and air molecules in constant dynamic interaction.

Interestingly, and importantly, the power of downwelling infra red radiation is insufficient to get past the region involved in evaporation. In that respect it is unlike soar radiation which penetrates the ocean to hundreds of metres depending on wavelength.
THIS ARTICLE CONTINUES
The Critical Importance of Solar Cycles - by Stephen Wilde
Sunday, June 28th 2009, 6:19 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image Attachment
Introduction.

The sun was dismissed by the IPCC as a contributor to the apparent warming of the Earth’s climate during the period from 1975 to 2000.

It seems to be accepted that the warming that occurred in the early part of the 20th Century was more likely solar induced but it is asserted that in the late 20th Century man made influences took over and forced a rise in global temperatures that would not otherwise have happened naturally. However it is notable that the highest recorded US mainland temperatures were recorded in the 1930s and not the 1990s. That interesting fact was obscured until recently when the data was investigated and the records corrected.

Please goto our Solar News Site SC25.Com to read FULL EXCLUSIVE article by Stephen Wilde
Source Link: solarcycle25.com
The True Climate Mechanisms by Stephen Wilde
Friday, June 12th 2009, 1:44 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentChanging global temperatures induce air circulation changes as the air seeks to restore the sea surface/surface air temperature equilibrium and at the same time resolve ocean induced variations in the sun to sea / air to space equilibrium.

The circulation changes alter all the processes involved in the rate of energy transfer from surface to space. In so far as the air circulation fails for a time to maintain temperature stability then radiation from surface to space will also change but in due course stabilty is always restored between the four said parameters (sea surface / surface air / sun to sea / air to space).

Only huge catastrophic changes capable of altering the temperature of the whole body of the oceans can set a new global equilibrium in the short term (less than millennia). The sun can also do it gradually but it takes centuries e.g. from Roman Warm Period to Mediaeval Warm Period to Little Ice Age to now. The solar effect is heavily modulated over time by ocean cycles. A change in the composition of the air alone cannot do it.
THIS ARTICLE CONTINUES
The Climate Debate In A Nutshell
Friday, May 15th 2009, 1:22 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentI look at the Earth with the oceans and air as a single entity obstructing the flow of energy from the sun.

Short wave solar energy hits the Earth, some gets absorbed by Earth, oceans and air and is then radiated out as long wave energy.

In the course of that process heat energy is released around the planet and radiated out with the rest of the electromagnetic energy received from the sun. The shift from short wave to long wave is just like the reduction in voltage as a current passes through a resistor thereby generating heat.

That entire process, taken as a whole, sets the so called equilibrium temperature of the planet.
THIS ARTICLE CONTINUES
OUR OVEN EARTH by Stephen Wilde
Wednesday, April 22nd 2009, 6:56 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
If the above title drew your attention then that will be because you expect me to confirm the worst fears about humanity’s goose having been cooked by anthropogenic climate change.

A goose may be cooked but not the one you would expect so please bear with me while I explain.

The ‘Oven’ analogy
THIS ARTICLE CONTINUES
Balancing the Earth’s Energy Budget - by Stephen Wilde
Wednesday, February 4th 2009, 2:12 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentYou will enjoy the latest Stephen Wilde article for CO2Sceptics.Com. Stephen expands on his previous work Do More Greenhouse Gases Raise The Earth’s Temperature? and makes some very logical conclusions concerning the way our climate works in conjunction with the Sun and the Earth's Ocean.

"I have previously described the Earth’s energy system as being similar to a pair (ocean and air) of electrical resistors placed in series both being independently variable and one being hugely larger than the other.

That is all very well but I should go on to examine the practical implications of such an analogy by trying to describe the types of climatic changes it should be able to generate. One can then compare that which would be expected with real world events
"
...

Please click the following PDF link to download the full article.
File attachment: 2010/Balancing the Earths Energy Budget.pdf
Do More Greenhouse Gases Raise The Earth’s Temperature?
Monday, January 19th 2009, 4:10 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentIn his latest article for CO2Sceptics.Com, Stephen Wilde establishes that the correct description of the Earth's climate system is that of a pair of in line (series) electrical resistors of hugely different sizes with each being independently variable.

Additionally the weather systems provide a variable air flow across them and the hydrological cycle provides a variable water cooling system. All observed atmospheric changes fit within the parameters of that system with no climate warming possible from any changes in greenhouse gas concentrations.

"Do More Greenhouse Gases Raise The Earth’s Temperature? That is the critical climate question and the one that I have agonised over most because even if human CO2 only increased the global air temperature permanently by a small amount then over a long enough period of time the effect would accumulate and could be dangerous."
THIS ARTICLE CONTINUES
The Unifying Theory of Earth’s Climate by Stephen Wilde
Thursday, January 8th 2009, 2:45 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image Attachment"Our regular contributor Stephen Wilde has prepared a new article tying in his previous articles (published first on the CO2Sceptics site) to recent climate developments. In doing so he provides a new conceptual overview of Earth's climate mechanism which appears to fit all observed changes in atmospheric temperature trends and, in view of the failure of existing climate models, he suggests a path forward for further research."

"The latest diversion is to announce that recent cooler years are still in the top ten or top twenty warmest. Of course they will be until any new trend becomes longer established because all the warmest years will cluster around a peak both on the way up and on the way down. The same phenomenon would be observed at the bottom of a cooling trough. How much longer do we have to wait to be given an honest admission that all is not well with the understanding of climate and an acknowledgement that by now there is legitimacy in calls for caution in the light of the potentially disastrous consequences of the ‘solutions’ that they have been proposing?"
File attachment: 2010/The Unifying Theory Of Earths Climate.pdf
JPL Says Forget la-nina oscillation rules as the pacific cools
Thursday, December 11th 2008, 4:14 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
The climate establishment is now starting to catch up with me:

WattsUpWithThat.com : -

JPL Says Forget la-nina oscillation rules as the pacific cools

I had a chat with solar expert Leif Svalgaard a while back and eventually he accepted a solar influence of perhaps 10% of the observed warming over the 30 years from 1970 to 2000.
THIS ARTICLE CONTINUES
Climate response to solar forcing less than reported
Monday, November 10th 2008, 1:30 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
We had a look at a recent article produced by Dr. David H. Rind at EnvironmentalResearchWeb.Org. He was critical of recent suggestions that 65% of the Earths warming were attributed to the Sun, and came up with a figure of only 10%........needles to say we returned this article to our resident meteorologist Stephen Wilde to see if he could come up with an explanation as to how this article downgraded the Sun's influence on our climate.

Climate response to solar forcing less than reported
THIS ARTICLE CONTINUES
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