Articles Tagged "Queensland Flood"

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Queensland Flood: Wivenhoe Dam decision an admission of failure by Hedley Thomas
Monday, February 14th 2011, 1:09 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
THE clearest official acknowledgment that the devastating flood in the Brisbane River was avoidable has been the decision yesterday to let go 25 per cent of the water stored in the Wivenhoe Dam.

In ruling that about 300,000 megalitres will be released, the Queensland government is sensibly backflipping on an outdated policy that should have been junked last year. The action is tantamount to admitting the administration got it wrong.

Never mind the spin. Those 300,000Ml would have made a huge difference last month. It could make a similarly significant difference if Brisbane gets another major rain-dump this wet season.

Calculations by senior engineers who are closely studying the dam show most of the flooding that damaged tens of thousands of homes would not have occurred if the extra capacity for flood storage had been available last month.
Source Link: theaustralian.com.au
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Vital questions must be answered by Hedley Thomas
Friday, February 11th 2011, 7:18 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
A DECADE ago, with Queensland in an El Nino-caused drought, a handful of dam engineers produced an expert report on Brisbane's Wivenhoe Dam and the potential peril for those living downriver in the event of a catastrophic collapse.

"The population at risk within a distance that would result in less than three hours' warning of a dam failure is between 57,000 and 244,000, depending on the time of day and nature of the breach," said the paper, entitled Flood Passing Capacity Upgrade Considerations for Wivenhoe Dam.

Today, with Queensland at the mercy of La Nina-caused floods, there are vitally important matters requiring scrutiny by the Floods Commission of Inquiry, which is led by Supreme Court judge Cate Holmes.

The tragic deaths in the Lockyer Valley and Toowoomba will be exhaustively and sensitively examined, along with land-use planning, the Bureau of Meteorology's capacity to give timely warning of flash flooding, and the devastation caused across vast regions of the state.
Source Link: theaustralian.com.au
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Queensland Floods: La Nina means there's more to come by Lanai Vasek
Friday, February 4th 2011, 3:58 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
QUEENSLANDERS should brace themselves for more cyclones, flooding and wild weather over coming months as a strong La Nina pattern settles in over the eastern states.

And weather experts predict the climate chaos could last even longer, with some forecasting the current cycle could remain in place for up to 30 years.

Stewart Franks, environmental engineer and scientist at the University of Newcastle, told The Australian yesterday that the category 5 Cyclone Yasi and recent major floods in Queensland were direct results of joint La Nina and Cold Pacific Decadal Oscillation weather patterns.

No one died in yesterday's cyclone despite the storm being larger than the devastating Hurricane Katrina.

However, more than 30 people lost their lives in the southern Queensland floods.

La Nina patterns are usually associated with above-normal rainfall across much of Queensland and enhanced tropical cyclone activity in the Coral Sea.
Source Link: theaustralian.com.au
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Doug L. Hoffman: That Wicked Weather
Thursday, January 27th 2011, 5:35 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
With massive floods in Australia and Brazil, and bitter winter weather across the Northern Hemisphere, climate change alarmists have been quick to blame the severe weather on global warming.

The fact that such weather is well within normal variation has not stopped the catastrophists from claiming vindication. No matter that those who study the Pacific and Atlantic decadal scale oscillations predicted a cold and snowy winter for Europe and North America, the recent blizzards are being offered up as “proof” that Earth's climate is changing for the worse. And what of the reports of widespread natural disaster from Rio, Brisbane and elsewhere? Even more global warming, of course. When it comes to wicked weather, the climate change cabal's misinformation machine is running at full tilt.

A wave of cold and snowy weather, reminiscent of the Little Ice Age, has gripped Europe and North America, grounding airplanes, trains and cars and causing dozens of deaths. Winter arrived particularly early for Europe, with November temperatures dropping significantly lower than previous lows for the month. On 28 November, Wales recorded their lowest-ever November temperature of −17.3 °C (1 °F) in Llysdinam, and Northern Ireland recorded their lowest ever November temperature of −9.5 °C (15 °F) in Lough Fea. The UK Met Office, which had predicted a mild winter, proclaimed the coldest December since records began in 1910.
Source Link: theresilientearth.com
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Dr. Tim Ball: Queensland Flooding Exploited – But Part of Normal Pattern
Tuesday, January 18th 2011, 8:59 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image Attachment

Just two years ago the headlines were bewailing the severe drought in Queensland. Environmentalists exploited the situation with threatening headlines like, “Queensland’s Drought-Parched to drink Purified Sewage.” The stupidity of this is many people drink purified sewage water.

A more reasonable but still threatening title said, “The Drought Deepens

Today’s headlines are equally menacing. The BBC claim, “Australia’s Queensland faces ‘biblical’ flood.”

Australian Greens leader Bob Brown made the ridiculous charge that, “the coal-mining industry should foot the bill for the Queensland reconstruction efforts, claiming its operations were indirectly responsible for the floods, because global warming caused by fossil fuels meant the atmosphere could hold greater amounts of moisture, leading to bigger and more intense rainstorms.” (Science in the News, Jan 16, 2011).

Click source to read more
Source Link: canadafreepress.com
GLOBAL CLIMATIC EXTREMES by Will Alexander, SA UN Scientist
Tuesday, January 18th 2011, 8:29 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
It was Richard Nixon who said that if you have got them by their sensitive parts their hearts and minds will follow. Now, after all these years and all those IPCC’s assessment reports, climate change scientists find themselves in this position. How will they react?

Our planet has just experienced global climatic extremes from bitter cold conditions in parts of the northern hemisphere immediately followed by extreme floods stretching from Australia in the east through to Brazil in the west. The last time that floods of this magnitude occurred was in 1974 when they were even more severe.

How is it possible that these extreme, global climatic conditions were not predicted by all those well-funded international institutions with their complex global climate computer models, not even days before they occurred?

They will respond by saying that this was extreme weather not climate. But if this extreme weather was exceeded by similar conditions in 1974 how can it be claimed that global temperatures have increased dramatically and that the world's climate has reacted accordingly? Then they claim that climate is average weather. If this is so then how do they explain that the weather extremes have not increased during the past 40 years but global climate has worsened?

Regards,

Will.

CLICK to download Memo Global floods by Will Alexander, SA UN Scientist
Opposing Views: Queesland Flood: Our changing climate has brought flood by Matthew Wright: Updated with WWF Australian Drought Report
Sunday, January 16th 2011, 4:19 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
I'D LIKE to know how much money the coal industry will chip in? THE reluctance of our politicians and media to attribute the devastating floods in Queensland to climate change is nothing but cowardice. The science is in. We must accept the verdict that climate change leads to more frequent and severe disasters.

Denying the link between climate change and extreme weather events such as the Queensland floods is akin to the way the tobacco companies denied the link between smoking cigarettes and cancer.

Just as smoking increases the risk of cancer, emitting carbon changes our climate and increases the risk of extreme weather.

The connection between flood and climate change was put well by home-grown climate scientist David Karoly, who said recently that Australia has been known for more than 100 years as a land of droughts and flooding rains, but what climate change means is Australia becomes a land of more droughts and worse flooding rains. Speaking to The Australian, Monash University's Professor Neville Nicholls said you'd have to be a brave person to say climate change was not having some sort of effect.


Updated below with the WWF 2002 Australian Drought Report sent to CR by Prof Stewart W. Franks
Source Link: dailytelegraph.com.au
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Christopher Booker: What was the role of warmists in the Queensland flood disaster?
Saturday, January 15th 2011, 4:53 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Australia was told to prepare for droughts as a result of climate change, and let down its guard against flooding.

Ever more alarming facts are emerging to show how Brisbane’s floods were made infinitely worse by cockeyed decisions inspired by the obsession of the Australian authorities with global warming. Inevitably, the country’s warmist lobby has been voluble in claiming that such a “freak weather event” (as the BBC called it) is a consequence of man-made climate change. But far from being an unprecedented “freak event”, the latest flood was nearly a foot below the level of one in 1974 and 10 feet below the record set in 1893.

For years, Australia’s warmists have been advising the authorities that the danger posed to the country by global warming is not floods but droughts: not too much rain but too little. One result, in Brisbane, was a relaxation of planning rules, to allow building on areas vulnerable to flooding in the past. As long ago as 1999, this was seen as potentially disastrous by an expert Brisbane River Flood Study (which was ignored and for years kept secret). Instead of investing in its flood defences, Australia spent $13 billion on desalination plants. (Queensland’s was recently mothballed because of the excess of rain.)

Last week’s most disturbing revelation, however, was the contribution to Brisbane’s flooding by the South East Queensland Water company’s massive release of water from its Wivenhoe dam upstream from the city (for details see “Brisbane’s Man-Made Flood Peak” on the Regionalstates blog). Instead of controlled releases through the previous week, the company allowed the level to rise to within a few inches of the top of the dam before releasing a vast volume of water, with devastating consequences for Brisbane 36 hours later.
Source Link: telegraph.co.uk
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Queensland Flood: Did Australia's obsession with global warming contribute to the Brisbane floods? by Brendan O'Neill
Saturday, January 15th 2011, 6:16 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
anyone, is to blame for the terrible flooding in Brisbane? Commentators are pointing their collective finger at the usual suspects. For the extreme green magazine Grist, the floods expose mankind’s arrogance in believing that he can build settlements anywhere he likes, even on floodplains. Nature is “taking a perverse pleasure in pointing out just where the shiny, might city is weakest”, gloats Grist. Others are blaming Aussie property developers, for thoughtlessly throwing up flood-prone buildings, and yet others think Queensland politicians should have done more to improve flood defences.

But might there be another, so far overlooked, contributing factor to the floods? Might the politics of environmentalism itself – the contemporary obsession with global warming as the greatest threat to mankind – have exacerbated the impact of the flooding in Brisbane? It seems possible that Aussie politicians’ and officials’ deeply held conviction that the main problem we face today is increased heat, droughts and a lack of rainfall caused them to take their eye off the ball in Brisbane, and to be unprepared for something as relatively normal as very heavy rainfall.
Source Link: blogs.telegraph.co.uk
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Queensland Floods: Better Planning for Extreme Floods Possible: A Note from Stewart Franks (2009)
Saturday, January 15th 2011, 2:52 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
DESPITE increased understanding of a number of different climate processes and their impact on a range of different timescales, this knowledge is not being used to inform planning and decision making. This is because long-term climate risk is often viewed only in statistical terms.

For instance, engineering techniques for estimating flood risk, where records exist, are largely based on simple statistics of their historic occurrence rather than on any real understanding of the processes that actually cause them.

In essence, if we have 100 years of flood record, then the largest flood measured represents, more or less, the hundred year flood level. This hundred year flood level is probably the most important of hydrological statistics in terms of its use in planning management. It is the yardstick by which decisions are made.

The problem with a simple statistical representation of risk is that it implies a static climate – the expected flood risk is equally likely in any year, irrespective of the actual climate processes that may or may not be dominating at that particular time. If this were the case, we would expect to see an equal spread of floods throughout our historical records. In Australia and in fact many other parts of the world, this is not so.

Updated below with three papers by Stewart Franks
Source Link: jennifermarohasy.com
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