Articles Tagged "Ross McKitrick"

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A Critical Review of Global Surface Temperature Data Products by Dr. Ross McKitrick
Tuesday, August 3rd 2010, 4:03 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
There are three main global temperature histories: the combined CRU-Hadley record (HADCRU), the NASA-GISS (GISTEMP) record, and the NOAA record. All three global averages depend on the same underlying land data archive, the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN). CRU and GISS supplement it with a small amount of additional data.

Because of this reliance on GHCN, its quality deficiencies will constrain the quality of all derived products. The number of weather stations providing data to GHCN plunged in 1990 and again in 2005. The sample size has fallen by over 75% from its peak in the early 1970s, and is now smaller than at any time since 1919. The collapse in sample size has not been spatially uniform. It has increased the relative fraction of data coming from airports to about 50 percent (up from about 30 percent in the 1970s). It has also reduced the average latitude of source data and removed relatively more high-altitude monitoring sites.

GHCN applies adjustments to try and correct for sampling discontinuities. These have tended to increase the warming trend over the 20th century. After 1990 the magnitude of the adjustments (positive and negative) gets implausibly large.
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Circling the Bandwagons: My Adventures Correcting the IPCC by Ross McKitrick
Thursday, April 8th 2010, 7:30 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Image AttachmentThis is the story of how I spent 2 years trying to publish a paper that refutes an important claim in the 2007 report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The claim in question is not just wrong, but based on fabricated evidence. Showing that the claim is fabricated is easy: it suffices merely to quote the section of the report, since no supporting evidence is given. But unsupported guesses may turn out to be true.

Showing the IPCC claim is also false took some mundane statistical work, but the results were clear. Once the numbers were crunched and the paper was written up, I began sending it to science journals.

That is when the runaround began

Click to read (PDF) Circling the Bandwagons: My Adventures Correcting the IPCC by Ross McKitrick
Global Warming Policy Foundation Announces New Advance
Tuesday, March 9th 2010, 12:14 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
LONDON, 9 March 2010 - In the few short months since its launch last November, the GWPF has already been able to make a considerable impact on the climate debate. As a result of growing interest and support, the GWPF can announce today that it is expanding its Academic Advisory Council with the addition of seven eminent scientists and economists from Europe, North America and Asia. This brings the total membership of the Council to 22.

Dr Benny Peiser, the director of the GWPF said: "The GWPF has already established itself as a voice of reason and moderation in what I hope is the start of an emerging international organisation. While climate science and climate policy face a crisis of credibility, we are attracting more and more backing from level-headed researchers from around the world.

Our aim is to become the most trustworthy source for those who wish to be informed of the most reliable and authoritative analysis of both the claims of climate campaigners and the policies currently in place or being discussed."

Nigel Lawson, the GWPF chairman said: "I warmly welcome our new Academic Advisory Council members, who embrace a variety of viewpoints, and whose advice will be invaluable as we develop our activities, as we intend to do, over the coming year."
Source Link: thegwpf.org
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The Heretics: McIntyre and McKitrick, FrontPageMagazine.com
Saturday, February 20th 2010, 12:46 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
When the infamous hockey-stick graph that purported to prove that human activities are causing runaway global warming was finally broken, there is some irony in the fact that a couple of Canadians did the breaking. Retired mining engineer Steve McIntyre and Ross McKitrick, Professor of Economics at the University of Guelph, have been a thorn in the side of global warming alarmists for years. McIntyre, McKitrick and, more often, the acronym “M&M” to refer to the pair, are the subject of many discussions in the e-mails released from the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit (CRU) last November.

Reading the e-mails, it quickly becomes clear that leading alarmist scientists, like Michael Mann at Penn State and Phil Jones at the CRU, seemed positively obsessed – almost to the point of appearing deranged at times – with discrediting McIntyre and McKitrick. For example, when the pair published their first hockey stick busting paper in 2003, Mann sent an angry e-mail to his colleagues, telling them how to deal with MM: “The important thing is to deny that this has any intellectual credibility whatsoever and, if contacted by any media, to dismiss this for the stunt that it is.”
Source Link: frontpagemag.com
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The models are unreal by Ross McKitrick from National Post
Tuesday, November 3rd 2009, 2:42 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
We are sleepwalking into some of the most disruptive and costly energy-policy misadventures since the National Energy Plan of the 1970s without the Conservatives having published a single estimate of the economic consequences.

Last week the David Suzuki Foundation and the Pembina Institute released a report arguing that Canada could meet a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction target of 20% below 2006 levels by 2020, at a cost of about 1.5% of Gross Domestic Product as of 2020. They referred to this as the “Government” target. That would be the Conservative government, of course, who adopted the target under their “Turning the Corner” plan announced in 2007.

Prior to that the Conservatives had blasted the Liberals for ratifying the Kyoto Protocol and imposing on Canada a ruinous requirement to cut GHG emissions to 6% below 1990 levels by 2008. The Conservatives rightly pointed out that this was completely unrealistic and would be devastating for the Canadian economy. So it was no small irony to see the new report point out, on Page 1, that the Conservative Government’s target equates to 3% below 1990 levels: almost identical to Kyoto.
Source Link: network.nationalpost.com
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Defects in key climate data are uncovered by Ross McKitrick
Saturday, October 3rd 2009, 4:43 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Only by playing with data can scientists come up with the infamous ‘hockey stick’ graph of global warming

Beginning in 2003, I worked with Stephen McIntyre to replicate a famous result in paleoclimatology known as the Hockey Stick graph. Developed by a U.S. climatologist named Michael Mann, it was a statistical compilation of tree ring data supposedly proving that air temperatures had been stable for 900 years, then soared off the charts in the 20th century. Prior to the publication of the Hockey Stick, scientists had held that the medieval-era was warmer than the present, making the scale of 20th century global warming seem relatively unimportant. The dramatic revision to this view occasioned by the Hockey Stick’s publication made it the poster child of the global warming movement. It was featured prominently in a 2001 report of the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), as well as government websites and countless review reports.

Steve and I showed that the mathematics behind the Mann Hockey Stick were badly flawed, such that its shape was determined by suspect bristlecone tree ring data. Controversies quickly piled up: Two expert panels involving the U.S. National Academy of Sciences were asked to investigate, the U.S. Congress held a hearing, and the media followed the story around the world.
Source Link: network.nationalpost.com
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Climate change? Check this data by Ross McKitrick, professor of economics at the University of Guelph
Sunday, June 14th 2009, 4:33 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Next there is the problem of attributing temperature changes to CO2 emissions. In the recent report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Figure 9.1 shows that the main effect of CO2 over the past century (see panel (c)) should have been a strong warming in the mid-troposphere over the tropics. Figure 10.7 shows the same pattern resulting from current and future CO2 emissions. Changes are also projected at the surface in the polar regions. However they are not so easy to tie to greenhouse gases since those regions are also sensitive to solar variability and natural atmospheric oscillations.

The tropical troposphere stands out as a good place to measure the specific effects of CO2. The contour lines imply an expected warming of the tropical tropospheric of 1-2 degrees Celsius over four decades starting in 1980, implying a warming of one-quarter to one-half degree Celsius per decade should now be observable.
Source Link: freep.com
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Submitted Article on Tropical Troposphere Trends
Wednesday, January 28th 2009, 9:07 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
Yesterday Ross and I submitted an article to IJC with the following abstract:

A debate exists over whether tropical troposphere temperature trends in climate models are inconsistent with observations (Karl et al. 2006, IPCC (2007), Douglass et al 2007, Santer et al 2008). Most recently, Santer et al (2008, herein S08) asserted that the Douglass et al statistical methodology was flawed and that a correct methodology showed there is no statistically significant difference between the model ensemble mean trend and either RSS or UAH satellite observations. However this result was based on data ending in 1999. Using data up to the end of 2007 (as available to S08) or to the end of 2008 and applying exactly the same methodology as S08 results in a statistically significant difference between the ensemble mean trend and UAH observations and approaching statistical significance for the RSS T2 data. The claim by S08 to have achieved a “partial resolution” of the discrepancy between observations and the model ensemble mean trend is unwarranted..
Source Link: climateaudit.org
Enter a caption in the comments section
Wednesday, January 14th 2009, 3:34 PM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
article image
This is a modification from a Mike Luckovich cartoon, we thought you would enjoy to be part of the process. Ask yourself one question, if this year remains cooler then average due to the "Calm Sun" period, then what will happen to the members of the IPCC, will they all start to jump ship by the end of the year?
My testimony before the House Energy and Air Quality Subcommittee
Friday, November 7th 2008, 5:42 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
My testimony before the House Energy and Air Quality Subcommittee
by Ross McKitrick

Dear Colleagues

Following my testimony before the House Energy and Air Quality Subcommittee in Washington last summer, chairman John Dingell sent me a letter asking a set of follow-up questions. I am told by a staffer in DC that this was somewhat unusual because the deadline for on-the-record questions closed a long time ago. However...
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