tallbloke wrote:Hi Ulric,
to what extent does your prediction of a warmish couple of years ahead rest on solar cycle 24 getting it's act together? I remember a while back we discussed amplitude for SS24. What's your current thinking on the size and length of the cycle?
Ulric Lyons wrote: Not a lot, a good analogue is around 1830 (179yrs back), lower than average sunspot numbers, but higher than average temperatures. I still think we will see a rapid rise in SSN from next year, with a possibility of equal to, or higher values than C23, but this will short lived, 2014 onwards should see lower levels of sunspots, as in the start of this cycle. Length at around 13 years.
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