Monday, November 5th 2012, 4:45 PM EST
On the 15th September and again on the 7th October I asked the simple question has the "peak" for SC24 already taken place?
Today I noticed the November forecast from David Hathaway (NASA) has issued another update, in that, the peak period remains the same, "Fall 2013", but the sunspot count number has come down again, it's now "73" from his "75" total in October! Last December it was "99"!!
This does NOT seem to be a confident call for David to make, David goes on to say "The current predicted and observed size makes this the smallest sunspot cycle since Cycle 14 which had a maximum of 64.2 in February of 1906". I am of the impression that either the "peak" has happened or it wont be long before David calls the forecast be under 70 and moves the "Maxima" back earlier....stay tuned for more.
CLICK to see ALL of the David Hathaway SC24 forecasts at ClimateRealists
Comments section below this advert:
Tweet Article
Post to Facebook
Print Article
The Layman's Sunspot Count attempts to apply these factors and shows that SC24 is traveling much lower than SC14. SC5 would be a better comparison.
http://www.landscheidt.info/?q=node/50