Wednesday, November 28th 2012, 1:57 PM EST
It seems a long time ago that I mentioned Will the Sun repeat itself in the NEXT 10 Days? and at last this period has ended with sunspot number AR1618 coming to an end five/six day overdue.
Piers Corbyn had expected this area of the Sun to erupt during his R5 period 22nd - 23rd November. I can only guess that as a result of this delay to AR1618, the rain/floods in the UK lasted a few days longer then even WeatherAction anticipated. The low pressure system also followed a lower track, although having seen Piers Corbyn original hand drawn chart for Europe for the 22/23 November he DID foresee a very low pressure area coming to the UK several weeks in advance but not as far South as it did, and as mention, not for as long.
Oh, and yes we have another "rare" weather event,this time from Italy, this was less then a day after AR1618 erupted.....
Updated below with MUST READ comments from Piers Corbyn
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This story for Japan happened in about the same time frame as the Solar Flare.......so its a "could be"
41,000 Hokkaido homes lose power - japantimes.co.jp
SAPPORO — Strong winds and blizzard conditions knocked out electricity for around 41,000 households in southern Hokkaido early Tuesday as a large low-pressure system hit the area, Hokkaido Electric Power Co. and the Meteorological Agency said.
The storm left at least three people injured, according to police.
A police officer was trapped under a tin roof blown down by strong winds in the town of Shinhidaka, while wind knocked two people down in other towns.
The blackout and fallen trees affected transportation, halting 94 train runs and at least 31 flights to and from Shin-Chitose Airport, according to JR Hokkaido and airlines.
At least 73 elementary and junior high schools were closed due to the bad weather.
Winds hit a maximum 151.56 kph on Cape Erimo facing the Pacific, and gusts of 142.92 kph were clocked in Muroran, the Meteorological Agency said, adding the low-pressure system was moving toward the Sea of Okhotsk.
Cumulative snowfall was expected to reach 40 cm in coastal areas of Hokkaido facing the Sea of Japan and 25 cm in areas facing the Pacific and the Sea of Okhotsk in the 24-hour period through noon Wednesday, the agency said.
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Right, AR1618 was indeed the significant ('crackling') activity which we predicted would occur on the sun's central longitude in the R5 two days 22-23rd. See pic on:
http://spaceweather.com/archive.php?day=22&month=11&year=2012&view=view
which shows AR1618 close to the line of sight center on 22nd.
There was also a Coronal hole in lower half of sun (not very large but probably also, or it's precursors, related to events) on the central longitude on 21st (go to link above and see one day earlier).
Extreme events which we specifically predicted would be driven by this (or the precursors of this) solar activity occurred in Britain+Ire, Europe and USA.
The storm and flood events in Britain were in fact more severe than we expected (in terms of floodwaters rather than winds) but our warning that standard Met computer models from one day ahead would underestimate severity of events around the R5 was confirmed.
The flood rains carrying on into another day after the 22-24th weather period specified was, I think, as you suggest, to do with AR1618/it's precursors and/or other things on the sun - continuing active - and part of the uncertainties involved. The strongest winds were in the core of the period (ie 22-23rd).
SO our Solar Lunar Action Technique predicted (yet again) in long range major events on the sun and associated extreme weather events.
Yet the delusional CO2 warmists {aided by BBC continued suppression of debate despite the exposure of their treachery} continue to claim any extreme events such as these are evidence of fictional man-made CO2-driven climate change.
What total piffle! They just made that up. They are brazen fraudsters who are holding back the advancement of science and their empire of lies must be destroyed
The very active Low in Italy afterwards, in next weather period 25-30th, was anyway in our Euromap forecast as were the snow blasts in NE USA; but weather activity was, it appears, extra intense because of extra solar activity. AR1618s's continuing high activity was ah expression of extra things that had gone on.
A GREEN OR WHITE XMAS? WHERE IS WEATHER AND CLIMATE GOING?
The theme of high extremes and strong contrasts continues in December in Europe and in USA.
For some advance comments, information on WeatherAction public event where we will announce snow or not at Xmas and discuss the coming Little Ice Age and to SUBSCRIBE visit the latest blog
http://bit.ly/WiDzRP
I just (Friday am) edit-clarified a few points above because they were I see confusing in parts.
Thanks Piers
Comment edited by Piers Corbyn (Twitter) on Thursday November 29, 2012 at 11:07 PM EST