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Tony Phillips: 2013 is only days away, and according to most forecasters, Solar Max should be approaching as well. But is it?
Friday, December 28th 2012, 5:18 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Perhaps Solar Max is already here--or maybe it has already passed. This plot of measured vs. predicted sunspot numbers illustrates the idea.

SOLAR CYCLE UPDATE: 2013 is only days away, and according to most forecasters, Solar Max should be approaching as well. But is it? Barely-increasing sunspot counts and anemic solar activity suggest an interesting possibility: Perhaps Solar Max is already here--or maybe it has already passed.

The blue curve traces monthly sunspot numbers measured since 2000. The red curve is the prediction of the NOAA-led Solar Cycle Prediction Panel. So far, Solar Cycle 24 is underperforming even compared to the panel's low expectations.

There is still a strong chance that Cycle 24 will rebound and peak in 2013 as expected. It might even be a double-peaked cycle like the cycle before it. As 2013 nears only one thing is certain: we don't know what will happen. Stay tuned....


See also: David Hathaway Forecasts
Source Link: spaceweather.com

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