Above latest Met Office forecast for widespread snow cover in the UK for Today and Tomorrow (Saturday 26th January) indicates....according to the Met office.....a thaw will take place very soon as there is a very warm weather system coming to the UK and starting from Sunday there will some heavy rain and warmer temperatures?
Piers is not so sure they have this correct as there is not much mobility going on, and the Atlantic front due to hit the UK does not look as if will pass through from West to the East of the UK in the way the Met Office have forecast......more to follow.
24 January 2013 - Parts of Britain will see further heavy snowfall on Friday before milder, wet and windy conditions bring a thaw, Met Office forecasters are predicting.
On Friday a band of rain will move across the UK from the west. This will turn to snow over much of Scotland during the morning and parts of northern, central and eastern England during the afternoon and evening. Meanwhile, western parts of the UK will see rain.
Over the weekend all parts will see a change to milder and unsettled conditions.
The change to milder weather will result in a combination of a thaw of lying snow and periods of rain which inevitably increases the risk of flooding in some areas. The Met Office and Environment Agency are monitoring the situation very closely and advise everyone to stay up to date with the latest weather forecasts, severe weather warnings, and flood warnings.
Met Office Severe Weather Warnings have been issued for both rain and snow over the coming days. Amber warnings for snow are in place across northern, central and eastern parts of the UK on Friday, where 4 to 8 cm of fresh snow is likely quite widely, with a risk of more than 10 cm in places.
Yellow warnings are in force for rain across some western areas on Friday and many parts on Sunday. Met Office weather warnings help you plan, prepare and protect yourself and others from the impacts of severe weather.
Anthony Astbury, Met Office Deputy Chief Forecaster, said: "Many northern, central and eastern parts of the UK look set to see the final fall of snow for this cold spell. Then we will see a change to milder and more unsettled conditions, as Atlantic weather systems bring spells of wind and rain, but also some drier brighter conditions at times.
"Everyone is advised to keep up to date with the latest forecasts and warnings and plan ahead if they are travelling during this change from icy to mild conditions."
Phil Rothwell, Environment Agency Flood Risk Manager, said: "A combination of rain and snowmelt over the weekend will increase the risk of flooding especially in South West England, Wales, the west Midlands and northern England. We are closely monitoring the situation and have teams ready to respond to any potential flooding.
"People should check out if they are in a flood risk area, and sign up to free flood warnings on the Environment Agency website."
By thinking ahead we can all be better prepared for severe weather. Throughout the winter, the Met Office works with agencies across the UK to help keep the country safe, well and on the move.
Heavy snowfall to come later today, but eventually turning milder.
Today:
Rain, already into Northern Ireland and the far west of Scotland, will continue to move east, readily turning to snow across much of Scotland, northern and eastern England. Some heavy rain for southwest England and Wales. Dry in the southeast.
Tonight:
Rain and snow will continue to march eastwards and should clear southeast England by dawn. Becoming very windy across Northern Ireland and southern Scotland, with some rain returning here.
Saturday:
Early rain will gradually clear northern areas, although further rain will return to Northern Ireland later. Much of England and Wales should see a dry and bright day. Generally windy.
Updated: 0322 on Fri 25 Jan 2013
Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:
Milder, but very unsettled throughout, with spells of heavy rain and strong winds affecting all areas. An increasing risk of seeing some flooding, as heavy rain combines with snowmelt.
Updated: 0322 on Fri 25 Jan 2013
UK Outlook for Wednesday 30 Jan 2013 to Friday 8 Feb 2013:
Unsettled weather throughout much of this period, with spells of rain, interspersed with clearer, showery interludes, for many areas and occasional hill snow in the north. The heaviest, and most prolonged spells of rain will tend to be in the west or southwest, with the best of any drier, brighter weather towards the east. It will also be windy at times, with a risk of gales, especially in the north and west, perhaps even severe gales in the far west and northwest. Generally mild at first, then temperatures falling close to the seasonal average in many parts, with overnight frosts in clearer, quieter spells and it will feel cold in the strong winds and rain.
Updated: 1130 on Fri 25 Jan 2013
UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Feb 2013 to Saturday 23 Feb 2013:
There are large uncertainties at this forecast range, however indications are that colder than average conditions will become more likely across all parts of the UK. Northwestern parts of the UK may well see drier than average conditions on the whole. Southern and eastern parts of the UK could see average or even greater than average amounts of precipitation.
Posted by Co2sceptic (forum) on Jan 25th 2013, 12:37 PM EST
Hi Vince, I think your find his comments at the WeatherAction.com site, Piers has been open about his forecast for this period and he would be first to agree that he did not expect any significant snow around, but then he did not expect the TWO solar eruptions that have just taken place, maybe if he did he would have put in heavy snow instead of a "few fluries".
I appreciate you guys having a dig at Piers or whatever it is you must do, but the deal with him is that he gives out a monthly forecast and then issues updates when and if.
He issued the update for this period on WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY as he noticed a change coming in this period for his forecast issued at the end of December. He has also issued his 45 day forecast mid month for the end of the NEXT month and so on.
Yes he said a "few flurries" for this period, but if you register and buy a forecast from him you had more information then the Met Office gave you days ago and his update is working out about right.
Not bad for someone who is a one man show against a multy million pount and multy hundred staffed with the aid of multy million pound computers who cant hit a barn door from a few paces
Posted by John OSullivan (Twitter) on Jan 25th 2013, 2:53 PM EST
Elim,
All comments on my blog have to wait for approval. But all have now been approved and yours - and every other comment is there. I only delete those that are abusive which, thankfully, isn't many.
Posted by Tom Richards (Twitter) on Jan 25th 2013, 3:45 PM EST
Not much mobility? There is a 160kt jet over the Atlantic which will drive the systems through.
The mild air already into the west. Surface temperatures may remain depressed until the snow cover melts and so a better guide to the air's signature is theta-w or wet bulb freezing level, the latter rises markedly from 0 to 1500m in a very short horizontal distance across the front.
Posted by Elim (Twitter) on Jan 26th 2013, 4:08 AM EST
So, as was forecast the arrival of warmer air from the West brought widespread disruptive snow with temperatures set to gradually rise over the weekend.
Amusing to see Piers scrabbling around on his website concocting blatant fabrications
"UKMO retreat of warm-up continues further confirming WeatherAction.
MetO revise 'warm-up' DOWN to 'less cold', change rain forecasts to snow and postpone general change. THIS is what WeatherAction warned would happen."
Sorry to be negative CO2, but Piers does himself no favours with this rubbish.
And just for the record the MetO forecast is for the return of colder conditions as we move through February.
Posted by Tom Richards (Twitter) on Jan 26th 2013, 4:50 AM EST
Just read Pier's website today and it really is pathetic. The area of most disruptive snow on the M6 is exactly where the MO said the most problems would be.
He said that as usual they would be wrong, heading for another blunder etc etc. All of course completely wrong just as his forecast.
Posted by Elim (Twitter) on Jan 26th 2013, 6:18 AM EST
Snow bomb? It was a bog standard warm front from the Atlantic. The cold air that was already over the country caused it to turn to snow. If we hadn't had the cold air influence it would have fallen as an inch of rain.
Come on CO2, get a grip ;)
Posted by Co2sceptic (forum) on Jan 26th 2013, 4:36 PM EST
Hi Ulric
We have to disagree on this point, and as I have mentioned to you several times before and no doubt will have to repeat several times in the future, I don't do what you do!
At the end of the year we sould have reached some sort of understanding on this.
Piers and I were more then happy with what was done last year and we could NOT find any major discrepancy between us in this respect.
Have a chat with Piers about this and please give me a break
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Mild and wet weather to bring thaw - Met Office
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