Fig. 1 Temperature at selected levels between sea surface and 10hPa in the stratosphere
Solar warming - Solar cooling
This paper provides a radical reinterpretation of the dynamics that drive atmospheric temperature in the stratosphere and upper troposphere and how this drives temperature at the surface. It is embarrassingly at odds with mainstream climate science. Nevertheless, I proceed with cautious deliberation.
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Manifestly, the engine of climate change is in the tropics. Here, energy gain from solar radiation exceeds emission via radiation. The energy gain, more at some times than others, is transferred to high latitudes by the ocean and the atmosphere. To understand climate change we have to understand the Southern Oscillation that governs the warming and cooling of the tropics and also how that oscillation changes over time.
The suns total irradiance varies by 0.1% over the solar cycle and is out of step with the observed change in surface temperature. At the height of the sunspot cycle a La Nina cooling event is frequently experienced. Plainly, the temperature of the Earth is unrelated to the sunspot cycle. However, there is a second mode of variation in solar activity that is deterministic. This is the Quasi Biennial Oscillation
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