This forecast follows on WeatherAction's acclaimed verified 'double first' long range forecasts of the formation dates to within a day of the first tropical storms of the season for The Bay of Bengal and for the East Pacific (TS Agatha which lashed Guatemala). As predicted both storms made landfall - of deadly consequences - see:
The predicted storm developments in the Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean and expected to pass through the Gulf of Mexico will help disperse the oil slick. The forecasted thundery development or storm formation dates are:-
Around 3-4 June for thundery developments (unlikley to develop to Tropical Storm).
Around 12-14 June - significant storm formation.
Around 21-23 June - significant storm formation.
Around 26-28 June - significant storm formation.
For further details of likely formation areas and storm tracks, including for an East Pacific storm, please see:
& click on Extreme Events Rest of World.
Forecast updates will be issued via link above.
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