In a television interview three days ago, our Minister of Water and Environmental Affairs whose department will be involved in the organisation of the UNFCCC conference in Durban at the end of this year, expressed her disappointment at the lack of an international agreement on the climate change issue. This made it unlikely that the Durban conference will achieve its objective.
Unlike the Copenhagen conference two years ago, we are unlikely to see the heads of state arriving in Durban with pens in their hands, ready to sign a binding agreement on the control of greenhouse gas emissions. Copenhagen failed miserably. The Durban discussions might not even get off the ground.
To make matters worse twelve days ago realising that Durban is likely to fail the Western nations requested the UN Security Council to become involved in the climate change issue. The developing nations objected and the request failed. The representative of the US described their objections as being ‘pathetic’. This is hardly the way to win friends and influence people, especially when the US has refused to enter into any agreements in the past. It was the US that nearly wrecked the Bali conference three years ago.
My own role has been that of a lone voice from the southern end of the African continent. I have been distributing my memos via the Internet since 2002. Now at last I've reached the point where I can demonstrate the fundamental errors in climate change science with a high degree of assurance. Details are provided in my five memos, the last three of which will be distributed during the next 10 days.
These are summaries.
My memos 02/11 through to 06/11 cover the two-month period from the beginning of June to the end of July. The whole climate change issue deteriorated rapidly during this period. The discussions in Bonn, that were intended to provide a basis for the UNFCCC conference in Durban at the end of the year failed to produce any results. Further discussions were postponed until September.
The Western nations are desperately trying to use the climate change issue to suppress the rapid competitive growth of the developing nations.
I have a sinking feeling. The world has experienced similar situations in its history. Most of them led to the outbreak of war though on different scales. Examples from South Africa are described in the attached memo.
There is no love lost between the African nations and their former colonial rulers. NATO’s intervention in Libya and the African Union’s strong objections still have to be resolved. The influence of the African Union in international affairs is growing while that of the EU and USA is weakening.
The African nations have repeatedly stressed that they require trade, not aid. This has not been forthcoming.
There are three issues of major international concern. These are economic, political, and scientific. The world is now experiencing the most severe economic crisis since the Great Depression of the early 1930s. This coincided with the worst global drought on record labelled the Great Depression Drought here in South Africa and called the Dustbowl Drought in the US. There is a real possibility that this combination is developing again.
On the international political front the gap between the few wealthy Western countries and the vast majority of the developing countries is widening and is unlikely to heal in the foreseeable future.
I address the scientific issues in my memos that are in the pipeline. I demonstrate with a high degree of assurance that climate change science is fundamentally flawed. It is only a matter of time before the nations of the world and their citizens realise this.
I'll leave it to you to consider the consequence when this happens.
Memo 02/11 Beware of false prophecies
is the delayed distribution ahead of the failed Bonn conference. I demonstrate how false prophecies in times of stress can lead to warfare with all its consequences.
I have already distributed Memo 3/11 Crossroads
. My greatest fear and the reason for my action is that climate change alarmism combined with the imminent depletion of South Africa's remaining natural water resources could result in starvation, malnutrition, disease, unemployment, xenophobic disturbances, and at worst cross border conflicts. There are many examples in South Africa and elsewhere on the African continent
Memo 04/11 is titled Mission accomplished in which I describe my successful global drought prediction method. It is the result of many years of effort in the face of attempts to silence me. South African climate change scientists have refused or ignored my requests that we get together to discuss this important national issue. Now they will have to face the consequences.
Memo 05/11 Conflicts ahead demonstrates the fundamental errors in climate change science that assumes that global climate is a steady-state phenomenon that is unconnected to variations in solar activity. These assumptions are provably false. The world's economic situation is grave with some nations near to bankruptcy. In this memo I discuss the political differences related to climate change that may well lead to international conflicts.
Memo 06/11 is titled My climate prediction model in which I provide details of my successful climate prediction model. I had the Climategate affair in the back of my mind. I ensured that my approach is fully transparent to the extent that it can be applied and verified by any scientist with an interest in the subject.
There is a lot of important material in the memos. I strongly recommend that you make copies and file them together for future reference.
Please distribute this email and my memos as widely as possible. They are very important as they go to the very heart of the climate change issue, particularly in view of the imminent collapse of international negotiations.