British maverick forecaster, Piers Corbyn, wins BBC accolade for best long-range weather prediction for Summer 2011.
With the summer of 2011 ending as the coolest in the United Kingdom since 1993 Corbyn has again left the UK Meteorological (Met) Office in the shade with his unerring accuracy.
BBC meteorologist and former Met man, Paul Hudson, has graciously conceded on his blog, "Of all the long range forecasts I read, only Piers Corbyn at Weather Action can claim success with his summer forecast." [1.]
Disappointing Official UK Weather Statistics for Summer 2011
Across the UK, the mean summer temperature was 0.4 Celsius below the long-term average making it the coolest for almost 20 years at 13.6 Celsius. Average summer rainfall was almost 20 percent above average with sunshine hours slightly below normal.
These Met Officer figures are "provisional" figures because, once again, they have been released before the end of the month. Piers, always cynical of Met Office motives, warms that often these provisional numbers get revised downwards so we could see 2011 turn out to be chillier and wetter than these numbers show.
The summer of 2011 is the latest in a series of cool, wet summers that the UK's Met Office has conspicuously failed to predict. The Government forecasters became a national laughing stock after the British media took them to task for their April 2009 gleeful forecast of a "barbecue summer." The season became a wash out with months of heavy rain.
Not Just Weather, But Climate Models Also Wrong
The Met Office's repeated failures appear diametrically opposed by the successes of 64-year-old Piers Corbyn, a trained astrophysicist who took up weather forecasting as a boy. Not only did Corbyn score top marks off Hudson but also the avuncular scientist boasts correctly predicting Hurricane Irene and Gulf Storm Lee "85 days ahead."
Londoner Corbyn is the founder and resident guru of WeatherAction and has been winning fans (and new customers) with his astonishing success rate of 85 percent, as proven in the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics [2.]. This achievement is even more remarkable because Corbyn publishes his predictions months in advance.
By contrast the discredited tax-payer funded Met Office (full title,' Met Office: Weather and Climate Change') still produces seasonal forecasts but declines to publish them. Nonetheless the Office remains defiant in its stance over global warming claiming that a warming trend is set to resume quickly and strongly.
It is on this issue that Corbyn lambasts the Met Office condemning it's "propaganda" over the issue. Corbyn is a resolute man-made global warming skeptic and insists the much-vaunted greenhouse gas effect is bogus. But he goes further, dismissing global government climate models as "junk science."
Climate Change Skeptic Corbyn Out to Prove a Point
As an outspoken critic of scientists making claims that human emissions of carbon dioxide cause global warming Corbyn's views run contrary to the official line of that other government agency, the BBC, which makes Hudson's plaudits even more remarkable.
Corbyn's company, Weather Action, now firmly in the ascendancy, has entered as a participant in a study of long-range forecasts set up by BBC's climate watchdog, Roger Harrabin. Tax-payer funded BBC News bankrolls the project with all the data crunched at the University of Leeds, UK.
Weather Action won't divulge the full details of its proprietary methods claiming that to do so would render them no longer competitive in business. But Corbyn has disclosed that a key part of their "secret" it is the use of solar effects and lunar modulation diaphanously factored from traditional astrophysics and historical records.
BBC Split Over Solar versus Human Climate Influence
This is not the first time that the BBC's Paul Hudson has drawn attention to Corbyn's achievements. Piers first showed up on Hudson's radar two years ago (October 9, 2009) when Hudson penned the controversial article 'What happened to global warming?' in which he drew wider public attention to Corbyn's heretical claims that the sun rather than man-made "greenhouse gases" drive the climate.
Hudson wrote, "He [Corbyn] claims that solar charged particles impact us far more than is currently accepted, so much so he says that they are almost entirely responsible for what happens to global temperatures." [3.]
Hudson is no lightweight judge in such matters. He worked as a forecaster with the Met Office for more than ten years before joining the BBC as a weatherman in 2007. He then became controversially linked to the Climategate scandal of 2009 when leaked emails written by discredited climatologists were first offered to Hudson for publication, but he declined the offer. [4.]
With Corbyn and those government agencies so diametrically opposed in their thinking Weather Action's continued success leaves his opponents firmly under a dark cloud. Until others follow Hudson and see the light expect further political storms ahead in this area.
[1.] 'Weather Paul Hudson,' bbc.co.uk/blogs (accessed online: September 12, 2011)
[2.] Dr. Wheeler, D., University of Sunderland, in the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Vol 63 (2001) p29-34
[3.] Hudson, P., 'What Happened to Global Warming,' (October 9, 2009), BBC News Channel, (accessed online: September 4, 2011).
[4.] Driver, C., 'Climate change scandal deepens as BBC expert claims he was sent leaked emails six weeks ago,' (November 26, 2009), Dailymail.co.uk, (accessed online: September 4, 2011).
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