Period: April – June 2012 Issue date: 23.03.12
The forecast presented here is for April and the average of the AprilMayJune period for the United Kingdom as a whole.
This forecast is based on information from observations, several numerical models and expert judgement.
SUMMARY - PRECIPITATION:
The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drierthanaverage conditions for AprilMayJune as a whole, and also slightly favours April being the driest of the 3 months.
With this forecast, the water resources situation in southern, eastern and central England is likely to deteriorate further during the AprilMayJune period.
The probability that UK precipitation for AprilMayJune will fall into the driest of our five categories is 20-25% whilst the probability that it will fall into the wettest of our five categories is 10-15% (the 1971-2000 climatological probability for each of these categories is 20%).
Click source to read FULL UK 3-month Outlook from the Met Office, HT TheGWPF.org
Updated below from Paul Hudson, BBC Weather - Wettest April on record - and more rain to come
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Wettest April on record - and more rain to come
- Paul Hudson - BBC Weather
Sheffield now has a new record with 153.4mm so far in April. Bingley has also broken its record, with 148.6mm.
Church Fenton in North Yorkshire has become the first station to report record rainfall following last night's heavy rain.
So far this month, 122mm (5 inches) has fallen, beating the previous record set in 2000 of 115mm. The station average for April is 49mm (2 inches).
Other stations are almost certain to break records with more heavy rain expected during Sunday.
Coningsby and Waddington in drought-hit Lincolnshire were at midday today less than 3mm from beating their station records.
But much more significant would be a new record at Sheffield Weston Park.
So far this month 150mm (6 inches) of rain has been recorded, just 1.5mm short of their record which was again set in 2000. Sheffield's average for April is 63mm.
This is an important climatological site with data which goes back to 1882 - making any records broken here very significant.
The persistent rain that has fallen this month, and in particular in the last few days, has unsurprisingly led to 10 flood warnings being issued on Yorkshire's rivers.
The catchments are now saturated and Sunday's forecast of heavy rain will be of concern to the Environment Agency....Click above BBC link to read FULL report from Paul Hudson