Wednesday, May 9th 2012, 5:12 PM EDT
As per note from Piers Corbyn...Red Warning periods – are now standardized R1 to R5 (most extreme effect)
The above chart is a special advance listing of the May Earthquake & Major Volcano "Red Warning" periods from Piers Corbyn.
The "Red Warning" chart, published on May 1st, highlights three major "Solar Lunar" periods, and two still remain, 19th - 21st May (R4) and the 23rd - 25th (R5). Piers originally expected the timing of these to influence the Earth's tectonic plate structure and produce M6.5+ Earthquakes as well as an increase in Volcanic activity, based on his previous findings.
As you would have noted the first major period (5th - 7th May - R4) was a FAIL and we think the new condition of the SUN (four magnetic poles instead of two) may have contributed to it's lesser predictable behaviour for this first major period of May. In doing so, the remainder of May could result in two more FAILS, hence this advance listing.
Updated below with MUST READ comments from Piers Corbyn
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Piers expects the Sun to pull out of it's new four pole condition and return back with two in the not too distant future.
If that is the cause of the FAIL in the first period of May, he will update his Earthquake and Volcano "Red Warning" model if and when necessary.
Meanwhile: May will be of extra interest to him, to see if his original calculation of "Red Warning" periods, stand up to the changes in the new configuration of the Sun's new magnetic structure.
As you can observe from the above chart, May was expected to be one of the most active Earthquake/Volcano periods in years. The recent changes in the Sun's make up may well have reduced that possibility, but we will have to sit this month out to know for certain.
Using the chart in it's current format, between now and the 19th of May, there should NOT be any MAJOR Earthquakes (M6.5+) or Volcanic Activity of note.
One situation that has worked out so far for Piers, is the cold May for the UK and Northern Europe, this was part of the forecast using the four pole Sun.
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An important point to note is that these forecasts are about a number of weather and quake things together. The weather R periods are used in actual forecasts and the Quake QV part is a trial. We test them together because they are connected.
On a raft of imaginary bets the 5-7th is well ahead of chance even with the quake 'Miss' because of significant thunder/hail and tornadoes which are hard to predict by others whilst we succeed: see Comment 11 re building cathedrals...link:
http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=9551&linkbox=true&position=2
We have the interesting situation of, for 5-7 May, the weather parts being a good success and the quake part a 'Miss'. This means something is 'connecting' for weather and either not connecting or differently affecting for quakes even though there was an Earth Facing Coronal Hole (in our class of 'QV' EFCH*) which we predicted.
*I mention this because it is important to understand that not all EFCH or EFAR (Earth Facing Active Regions) drive quakes, ONLY those in our predictable 'QV' class (under SLAT) are, as far as we can see, capable of this. The work to predict 'QV'(SLAT) EFCH and EFAR began with the Christchurch quake in New Zealand which was followed by the Superquake in Japan on March 11th 2011.
So to be clear we do NOT say that ALL Solar activity or all (EF)AR or all (EF)CH encourage quakes (indeed sometimes the opposite) so ill-intended tests which examine quantities we do not predict and in fact exclude from causative links have no positive value.
Thanks, Piers
Comment edited by Piers Corbyn (Twitter) on Thursday May 10, 2012 at 11:22 PM EDT