BRITAIN will be plunged back into winter this week by a freezing Arctic blast – putting summer on hold for at least a month.
Temperatures could plunge as low as -6C (21F) from today with some areas facing up to 2in of snow.
Much of the country is braced for night-time frosts, bitter cold winds and icy rain to make it feel more like winter until at least the middle of June.
It follows an almost summer-like weekend which saw two days of glorious sunshine, bringing highs of 17C (63F). But experts say the new bout of miserable weather is caused by the jet stream over Europe which is stopping warm air arriving from the Continent and allowing a northerly freezing blast to roar in.
Although the worst of the weather will hit the North this week, the South will endure days of drizzle and freezing winds that will make it feel like -3C, followed by harsh frosts at night. Jonathan Powell, forecaster with Vantage Weather Services, said: “It looks like this is going to continue well into June. Summer is really on hold, with no sign of it in the near future...
Updated below with MUST READ comments from Piers Corbyn
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..Last month Piers Corbyn, of independent forecasters WeatherAction, predicted that May would be the coldest for 100 years.
He warned of a “run of bitter northerly winds” with snow at times.
Weather Channel forecaster Leon Brown yesterday said up to 2in of snow could fall over high ground in Scotland and northern England over the next few days.
He said: “Showers will turn to snow tonight, with snow over higher hills in the Pennines, Cumbria and Scotland’s southern Uplands.”
Mr Corbyn said: “The coldest parts will be the East, the North-east and central parts of Britain.”
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THANKS for posting CR & Express!
I got a good accurate quote and acknowledgement for our original very cold May forecast while others said "no way" (remember Netweather, now Oh so quiet.)
My input here was only about MAY. Nathan of Express asked me for further but I said no comment for now. He tends to headline the longest, strongest / most extreme since he is selling newspapers but it can mean others get associated with headlines not of what they said. The article itself is however perfectly fair and clear about what I said and what others said.
Meanwhile Joe Bastardi has circulated a superb tweet of medium range forecasts backing our original WeatherAction long range very cold May ("coldest or near coldest for 100 years in East/central Britain") forecast:
http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=9619
His twitpic:
http://pic.twitter.com/pmyc6VEg Map
is AV TEMP 13-21May (from 18z on 13th to 18z on 21st)
As Joe correctly surmises standard meteorology (MetO, Netweather...) and their intellectually strained warmist sidekicks in certain media (Independent, Guardian, Telegraph, BBC) should now go into a flat spin.
What they denied was impossible or deemed 'very unlikely' to the point of impossibility is at minimum looking set for success or close to.
One wonders if they can eat their words and actually become objective - a ridiculous thought of course but let's dream. Their usual blather runs:
"WeatherAction/Piers Corbyn (claim to) do long range forecasting using solar activity but long range forecasting BY ITS NATURE is UNRELIABLE therefore he's talking a load of..."
It only needs a small rewrite:
"WeatherAction/Piers Corbyn does long range forecasting using solar activity (with lunar modulatuion) and whereas long range forecasting by traditional meteorology is BY ITS NATURE UNRELIABLE his method has an independently proven track record of success
....which by the way means we have been lie-ing to you for decades about the role of man-made CO2 which observationally has zero effect. We now feel the truth is overdue, the CO2-green scam must end, the green parasites on our backs must be thrown out and the world must prepare for serious cooling which will damage agriculture and the world economy".
What temperatures are we looking for?
The forecast headline etc:
"The coldest or near coldest May for 100 years in central and East parts with a record run of bitter Northerly winds. Snow at times especially on high ground in NE/East. Spring put in reverse:
*Confidence of E / SE England mean temps
(specified in 15-45day fc issued 16 April):
Coldest in 100yrs 80%;
In 5 coldest in 100yrs 90%
Coldest Temps in last 100 years (+ for info back to 1900) 1= coldest etc
(0 1902 8.9C) - coldest since 1900 - 110 years ago = 5x22
1. 1996 9.1C - coldest since 1913 inc
2. 1923 9.2C - 89yrs ago ~4x22 (or 89=4x22.2)
3. 1941 9.4C
4. 1955 9.7C
5. 1968 9.8C - 44yrs ago = 2X22
7=19xx 9.9C - 6/7/8th 1935, 1975, 1984
So we are looking for (CET, although further East preferred)
9.8C or less for in coldest 5 in 100years
9.1C or less for coldest in 100 yrs
For full detailed forecasts - needed by any who take weather seriously - check out:
http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
Thanks Piers
Comment edited by Piers Corbyn (Twitter) on Tuesday May 15, 2012 at 8:24 AM EDT