Thursday, May 31st 2012, 8:01 AM EDT
Piers Corbyn to make changes to his Solar Lunar Action Technique(SLAT) to fall in line with the NEXT "Little Ice Age"
Piers Corbyn, Astrophysicist of WeatherAction.com said:
"After studying weather developments in the last two months we have introduced some modifications to our Solar Lunar Action Technique. SLAT7a - which was about improving selection of detailed look-backs using lunar factors more strongly - did superbly at predicting the exceptionally cold weather in the first three weeks of May but does not well see the VERY RAPID ("Little Ice Age” type) changes experienced and specifically missed the sudden warming of around 22nd.
"Although our ‘at least 6 out of 8 weather periods basically correct’ in a month was met in May we want to improve on that and better handle the "approach to LIA weather types” REGIME the world is now in.
"The approach to LIA circulation we are now in see here
Solar Climate Change IS HERE AND NOW and is characterized by:
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#On the Sun a generally quieter and magnetically more confused state and slower solar wind.
#Very large amplitude swings in the Jet stream (NH and SH) with the Jet stream average position shifted equator-wards.
#General Cooling especially of temperate zones and simultaneous warm and cold (larger) regions marking different ‘ends’ of jet stream large amplitude wave effects.
#Very rapid changes in weather particularly in temperate zones
#Rapid changes in standard parameters – NAO, AO etc
#Stark extremes including more giant hail and tornadic developments.
#An increase in major earthquakes and volcanism
#Serious limitations of the powers of standard meteorology even 1 or 2 days ahead at times. This was in evidence through most of April and May. These problems will largely continue for at least 25 years and no amount of tweeking standard models or increasing computer power even a thousand fold will overcome it. Standard Meteorology is past it's peak.
SLAT8 is designed to better predict in the approach to the New Little Ice Age circulation patterns the world is now in and uses a wider range of look-back weather data (NB we are constantly seeking more) and considers more rapid change options which may need more modification or changes (if rules suggest) of Look-Back maps particularly under potential sudden Jet stream switches and consequent sudden warming or sudden cooling in regions. SLAT 8 will also (as previous SLATs but more effectively) be able to give long range warning of impending errors in standard Meteorology.
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