With the end of 2012 in sight I thought I would give you a quick summary of how the Piers Corbyn Earthquake and Volcano trial went this year. I tried to monitor EQ's from a Magnitudes of 6.5+, and this was not only very messy to try and analyse, I also got a lot of stick from a couple of AGW supporters as regards the stats were concerned, and rightly so. But now I have found something even they will find difficult to argue with.
I have now settled at Earthquakes with a Magnitude of 7+ to show what I consider to be changes of real significance between Solar Activity and Earthquakes using the Piers Corbyn "R" rating.
It's not a perfect situation to make a call and yes there is a flaw in all of this, and that is, the condition of the Earth's crust! This, understandably is an unknown variable, and as you can see below, there was nothing going on above M7 for several months in a row (May, June & July) [Note, I have to conclude this three month period of >=M7 was NOT random as this is a cluster of three months. Maybe a clear sign the Earth's crust was either in a stable condition or that the Sun was not packing any force in her punches!]
As a result of this three month lull, I will have to see what next year brings, and who knows in 2013 I may have to revise this view.
The fact is Piers Corbyn has a skill of pinpointing the monthly periods when he expects there to be high level Earthquakes M7+ associated with high Solar Activity [R4/R5]
The numbers are: There were 16 M7+ Earthquakes during 2012
Associated with Piers Corbyn Solar Activity Rating R4/R5 = 11 (69%)
Average Number of days in month for a R4/R5 Period 8 (27%)
It seems a long time that Piers Corbyn has included a "R" rating for a lunar phase but there are two comming in quick succession, first is the Perigee on the 12th and a day later is the New Moon (13th).
We start Today (10th) with an R3 arting and end up on the 14th with an R4, you will have to wait and see what follows.
A note on the chart that may interest to some of you, the chart mentions "Earth Facing Coronal Holes", so, even if we have an event on the "far side of the Sun" there is an effect on the Earth facing side......more to follow soon.
I was trying to find the source of the strong Indonesian M7.1 Earthquake today and true to form for this type of event I managed to find a CME. This time however rather then having a Solar Flare on the Earth facing side it would seem to be a CME on the far side, confirming what Piers has said all along, it's NOT the area of the Sun that has the CME it's the hole that is facing Earth, as a guess it's the Unstable Filament of Magnetism in area AR 1621 to AR 1623
This report from SolarHam.net, and again they make the same mistake as Spaceweather.com about the CME not facing us.
Farside CME / Solar Update by Kevin VE3EN...SolarHam.net
A new active region currently transiting the farside of the Sun erupted this afternoon. A bright Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is currently visible in the latest STEREO Ahead COR2 images. Because this is a farsided event, there will be no impact on Earth.
On the 2nd December I posted the latest R5 forecast from Piers Corbyn with two weather scenarios for the USA and Europe. The period in question was for the 5th - 7th December, and today there is news of a M7.4 Earthquake in Japan that has followed a huge Filament Eruption on the surface of the Sun.
We have seen Solar Climate Change (Solar events on the Sun that make changes to the Earth) repeat several times before and no doubt will see it again in the future and yet the media, and this sadly includes Anthony Watts at WUWT, have put "Solar Climate Change" into the "crack pot" area.
As regular followers at this site have seen before there ARE solar episodes that make changes to the Earth's surface and climate that CAN be forecast in ADVANCE by Piers Corbyn and yet there is no funding available to research these events...WHY?
The question then is this...... who is the "real" denier of these events being related, us or the media (inc. WUWT)?
Well done to Piers Corbyn for a correct R5 forecast...more to follow soon.
The above chart produced by Piers Corbyn at WeatherAction.com looks as if the Sun plays a re-run of the R5 we had between the 8th - 10 November (Jet Stream Shift and M6.5+ Earthquakes).
As you can see during the period of the 22nd - 23rd there is a SECOND R5, stay tuned for more, plenty of time ahead of us to see if this forecast pans out in the same way as it did in the first R5, comments welcome.
The First period is NOW! 13th - 14th, this is for the "New Moon", "Perigee" and not forgetting the Eclipse taking place in Australia. This period has a lot to cram into a couple of days but as you can see, it is only rated as an R3.
From the 16th to the 23rd the forecast starts at an R4 and ends with a R5, with what looks like a break in the middle....more to follow...
A strong earthquake struck off the Pacific coast of Guatemala Wednesday morning, rocking the capital and shaking buildings as far away as Mexico City and El Salvador. Guatemala's emergency management agency said on its Twitter account that it had received preliminary reports of one death from the quake....click ABCNews.com link for more
I have had several of you email in about what was said on the build up to Hurricane "Sandy". Most of you were concerned that the News Media do not report Solar Activity and the Earth's Weather events as being related.
Put simply the Media and various Government agencies will not support Solar Activity and the Earth's Weather events as being related, as it conflicts with the political view of "man made" climate change. If they started to say that the Earth's weather is changed by the activity on the Sun they would then not be able to support the politics of climate change.
The Solar period for Hurricane "Sandy" was during a very high "Red Warning" event, one of the highest of the year (R5+), it was no real surprise to see what took place as you you see below.
Firstly this is what we reported on a day to day basis starting on the 23rd October.
we are now at the start of a second R5+ period in two months. The following YouTube of a Solar flare from today looks to be the start of this event....remember the CME from a Solar Flare does not have to be in direct line with Earth, it's the "hole" that is facing us that counts...more to follow...see link for YouTube
Piers Corbyn's methods may have there issues on locations and days as far as his UK weather forecast is concerned but his Astro knowledge for the timing of major Solar Activity seems to be spot on....more to follow
VANCOUVER FoxNews.com, British Columbia – A magnitude 7.7 earthquake struck off the west coast of Canada and a tsunami warning was issued, authorities said, but there were no immediate reports of major damage.
The U.S. Geological Survey said the quake hit the Queen Charlotte Islands just after 8 p.m. local time Saturday at a depth of about 3 miles (5 kilometers) and was centered 96 miles (155 kilometers) south of Masset, British Columbia. It was one of the biggest earthquakes around Canada in decades and was felt across a wide area around British Columbia...click foxnews.com link for more
Having gone through several days of R4/R5 Solar/Lunar events we are now at the start of a second R5+ period in two months. The following YouTube of a Solar flare from today looks to be the start of this event....remember the CME from a Solar Flare does not have to be in direct line with Earth, it's the "hole" that is facing us that counts...more to follow
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I was trying to find the source of the strong Indonesian M7.1 Earthquake today and true to form for this type of event I managed to find a CME. This time however rather then having a Solar Flare on the Earth facing side it would seem to be a CME on the far side, confirming what Piers has said all along, it's NOT the area of the Sun that has the CME it's the hole that is facing Earth, as a guess it's the Unstable Filament of Magnetism in area AR 1621 to AR 1623
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