Articles Tagged "Dennis Ambler"

Dr Kerry Emanuel of MIT caused a storm recently, when he said in a Mother Jones video that, as a Republican scientist, he is almost ashamed to be an American, because not all Republican candidates have embraced Global Warming. An LA Times Op-Ed from January 5th 2012, portrayed him as the conservative scientist out to save the world.

In February last year, Dr Emanuel was playing the same “Republican scientist who believes in global warming” message in a radio interview for NPR. He brought in the usual mantras about the tobacco industry and a campaign of disinformation funded by vested interests, but failed to mention his own vested interest in the disaster insurance business.

Click source to download PDF file and read FULL report from Dennis Ambler at scienceandpublicpolicy.org

Unprovable claims attributing weather patterns and events to anthropogenic CO2 emissions have been around for some.

A new paper from a group of IPCC authors in conjunction with the re-insurance industry, now claim they have found the Holy Grail; they can definitely say that the year 2000 floods in the British Isles were made worse by global human CO2 emissions and they imply that they can make this attribution for any event in the future.

The paper uses convoluted climate modelling to focus on one season of unusual rainfall in the UK, the fall of 2000. There is a negligible long term trend in precipitation in this 235 year record. The modelling results were aggregated by feeding modelling programs to home PC users in the UK and around the world and running thousands of simulations on those computers.

A previous exercise of this kind on temperature produced unusable results, with temperature ranges extending to a rise of 11 degrees C from a doubling of CO2, three times higher even than the IPCC’s own inflated figures and 11 times higher than the effect quoted by many climate scientists.

CLICK to download PDF file and read FULL report by Dennis Ambler from SPPI

Former Republican Congressman and former chairman of the House Committee on Science, Sherwood Boehlert, launched an attack last week on the Republican Party and its stance on global warming science.

He made great play of the contributions of Climate Scientists and National Academy of Sciences reports on climate matters.

It seems he does not have much idea of the make-up of the NAS panels and how they are stacked with activist scientists and NGO’s to deliver the right message, whilst carrying the scientific imprimature of the NAS.

CLICK to download PDF file from SPPI and read FULL report by Dennins Ambler

We have had “An Inconvenient Truth”, “The Day After Tomorrow”, “Acid Test” “The Age of Stupid”, all propaganda films pushing the central tenets of the Global Warming movement and produced by professional film-makers.

We have had scary adverts for children, warning of the planet’s imminent collapse unless we “mend our ways” and that means your parents, kids.

We now have a new low in media presentations, a film that was available on You Tube, until it was pulled today, within a few hours of the exposure it received when the Guardian highlighted it as part of their support for the 10:10 climate change campaign. I suspect they were quite surprised by the reactions even from AGW supporters. ICECAP NOTE: the video has reappeared here.

This delightful film series has the title “No Pressure” and is written by Richard Curtis, a highly successful writer with a long list of comedy successes to his name. It comes from the Franny Armstrong stable, famous for the dreadful “Age of Stupid” film, showing a world destroyed by its inhabitants. This nice little example is no comedy, although it producers think it is highly entertaining. The title of the Guardian article in which the film is linked, is entitled: “There will be blood”.

Updated below with comments by Piers Corbyn

In a "Highlights" report of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's State of the Climate in 2009 document, which was prepared under the direction of the U.S. National Climatic Data Center, we can read the principal findings of what the document describes as the work of "more than 300 scientists from 48 countries." Their primary conclusion, as stated in the Report's first paragraph, is that "global warming is undeniable," and the Report goes on from there to describe "how we know the world has warmed." But this, and all that follows, tells us next to nothing about what has caused the warming, which is the crux of the whole contentious matter.

The Report next states, for example, that "recent studies show the world's oceans are heating up," which is fine; but then -- as if hoping no one will question them -- the Report says the oceans are warming, "as they absorb most of the extra heat being added to the climate system from the build-up of heat-trapping gases," which contention is far from a proven fact, and is -- in fact -- merely an hypothesis ... and a bad one at that, as we shall soon see.

As we are told of yet another “hottest year on record”, our daily news reports are full of “hot testimony”, for example the heatwave in Moscow, Russia is described in this report:

“The heat has caused asphalt to melt, boosted sales of air conditioners, ventilators, ice cream and beverages, and pushed grain prices up. Environmentalists are blaming the abnormally dry spell on climate change.

On ‘black’ Saturday, temperatures in Moscow hit a record high of 38 degrees Celsius with little relief at night, making this July the hottest month in 130 years. The average temperature in central Russia is 9 degrees above the seasonal norm.”

As usual, WWF regard this as proof of global warming,

“Certainly, such a long period of hot weather in unusual for central Russia. But the global tendency proves that in future, such climate abnormalities will become only more frequent”, says Alexey Kokorin, the Head of Climate and Energy Program of the World Wide Fund (WWF) Russia.

He fails, of course, to say what caused the previous heat wave of similar magnitude 130 years previously, as was mentioned in the report. Such is the nature of environmental reporting these days, that such questions equally do not arise in the minds of those willing reporters who swallow every crumb of global warming thrown to them. Never ever mentioned are historical instances such as the seven month long European heatwave of 1540, when the River Rhine dried up and the bed of the River Seine in Paris was used as a thoroughfare.

This is really very, very good, but politicians will not read it through, it is 79 pages long. It is a lawyer’s examination of the IPCC evidence as in a courtroom. He takes apart the IPCC conclusions and presents other evidence that disproves their insistence on incontrovertible evidence of AGW.

http://www.probeinternational.org/UPennCross.pdf

An example of his approach:

The Ability of Climate Models to Explain Past Climate

The IPCC and the climate establishment have vastly oversold climate models by declaring that such models are able to quite accurately reproduce past climates, including most importantly the warming climate of the late twentieth century. Mainstream climate modelers have themselves explained that climate models disagree tremendously in their predicted climate sensitivity – response of temperature to a CO2 increase – and are able to reproduce twentieth century climate only by assuming whatever (negative) aerosol forcing effect is necessary to get agreement with observations.

Jane Lubchenco, NOAA Administrator, is keen to expand her role, get more funding and enlarge her organization.

She sees “Acid Seas” as a suitable vehicle and has given interviews claiming that the oceans are becoming more acidic and “threatening much of the life in the oceans.”

Click to download PDF file - Dying Shell Fish Larvae: The Story of a Scam by Dennis Ambler