Articles Tagged "Solar Climate Change"

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Increased activity at Korovin volcano (Aleutian Arc, Alaska) during April "R4" period
Wednesday, April 10th 2013, 4:07 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Yep, it's time to put on my tin foil hat again but a prominant Earthquake swarm has taken place about the same time as yesterdays Solar activity, I know it's just another coicidence...but you never know the events may well be related....

Volcano activity of April 9, 2013 – Increased activity at Korovin volcano (Aleutian Arc, Alaska) by Richard Wilson and Armand Vervaeck - earthquake-report.com

An earthquake swarm and recent strengthening of volcanic tremor at Korovin volcano (Aleutian arc) (station KOWE) suggests that eruptive activity is occurring or is iminent at the volcano....click source for more.
Source Link: earthquake-report.com
Tropical Storm "Imelda" may indicate April "R4" Period is now underway!
Tuesday, April 9th 2013, 10:39 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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The above chart taken from TropicalStormRisk.com today may be an indication that the First April (9th - 12th) "R4" period, highlighted by Piers Corbyn at the start of this month is now underway.

The following report from SpaceWeather.com confirms a very large area of the Sun has become active...more to follow

FAST-GROWING SUNSPOT: Solar activity is low, but a fast-growing sunspot could break the spell of quiet. AR1718 has more than doubled in size during the past 48 hours as shown in this movie from the Solar Dynamics Observatory [Click source link for Video]. The magnetic field of AR1718 is rapidly changing and therefore prone to instabilities. If it criss-crosses and reconnects--bang! A solar flare could occur. Because of the sunspot's central location on the solar disk, any eruptions would be Earth-directed.

Tropical Cyclone Imelda - accuweather.com

Forecasters with the JTWC as well as the Tropical Cyclone Centre of La Reunion called for further strengthening, culminating in at least Category 2 hurricane equivalent status by Thursday...click source for more.

See below latest...M6.3 Earthquake hits Iran
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Piers Corbyn has "another" QV5 Earthquake hit....this time it's a M7 after one of the biggest solar flares of the year!!!
Saturday, April 6th 2013, 4:43 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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I had been waiting to post the above WeatherAction.com "Red Warning" chart for April starting from the first "R4" period, due to commence on the 9th, and not for the first time the period before this event held a higher "QV" warning. This "new" style of forecasting from Piers certainly throws my understanding of these ratings out.

I tend to look for the highest "R" rating and post accordingly, however on the past two occasions it was the "R3" rating that had the higher "QV" period and it has come up with a higher then average magnitude Earthquake...see below the result for the past two months for these "R3" events and you will see what I mean.
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Iceland earthquake swarm (Grimsey area) – 314 earthquakes in less than 48 hours
Tuesday, April 2nd 2013, 1:16 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Call me crazy for thinking this story from Iceland may be connected to the recent TWO Filament Eruptions....but I do..

This earthquake is part of a strong swarm at a well know location in the Ocean. The location of the swarm is a relatively shallow ridge area (the zigzagging ridge creates the transform-like earthquakes) . A ridge is a location where 2 tectonic plates are pulling away from each other. Fresh magma will have an easier job to reach the seabed and hot volcanic vents are often found on these locations. A new island in such an area is almost a certainty in the geological future. A pity that there are no permanent ROV’s in this location, we might see some submarine fireworks!

At the time of writing this article, we have counted 314 earthquakes in less than 48 hours!


Click source for more
Source Link: earthquake-report.com
Coronal Hole appears in "R4" period (26th - 31st March)
Wednesday, March 27th 2013, 3:19 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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On March 23rd I posted the end of March "Red Warning" from Piers Corbyn and he stated that the 26th to 31st March would be a high end "R4" period. The chart I posted also mentioned there would be a "significant Earth facing" Coronal Hole and that Piers expected a higher then average risk for a M6.5+ Earthquake as a result of this event.

As you can see from the above SpaceWeather.com report, here is the Coronal Hole....more to follow.


Click source for FULL report from SpaceWeather.com
Source Link: spaceweather.com
Last part of March contain long spell of "R4" Periods and indicate high risk of M6.5+ Earthquake
Saturday, March 23rd 2013, 8:28 AM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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It looks like I have made a rare mistake in the posting of the Piers Corbyn "Red Warning" periods, I left out the "R4" period that immediately followed 13th - 16th March. I understand from Piers that he has recently changed the format of these predictions and that they now occasionally skip a day in between these solar/lunar forecasts and therefore improve his overall monthly percentage.

The above chart takes us up to the end of March and as you can see this period is expected to be very eventful, containing several days with a "R4" rating and ending the month with a high risk of a M6.5+ Earthquake ....stay tuned for more.
Was Australian "Supercell" the result of March "R4" period?
Tuesday, March 19th 2013, 12:45 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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The Goldfields supercell. Picture: Walter Ford

On Sunday I posted news of a Magnetic Filament Eruption (15th March) for the Piers Corbyn "R4" Period for period 13th - 16th March, and as regular followers of this topic would know, I then try and hunt down a rare weather event to tie in with these solar events.

I know think I have located a story from Australia that ticks all/most of the boxes for such an event....

Rare glimpse of spectacular supercell - au.news.yahoo.com/thewest

Swirling winds, a lack of rain and a stunning lightning show made for a spectacular sight as a supercell formed over the Goldfields on Sunday.

Kalgoorlie-Boulder meteorological station manager Steven Black said the cloud formation was an "excellent example of a low precipitation supercell".

"Supercells such as these form over dry arid areas and are noticeable due to the circular shape of the lower part of the cloud," Mr Black said.

"The shape comes from the presence of a mesocyclone, which is essentially a little vortex with the air moving around in circles and upwards.

"What made this cloud so spectacular was there was very little rain and made it very easy to view."...click au.news.yahoo.com for more
Magnetic Filament Eruption has taken place during "R4" Period!
Saturday, March 16th 2013, 8:44 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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Just as Piers Corbyn predicted at the start of the month for this period, we have a major solar event taking place on the Sun as demonstrated by the above proton Flux Chart from NOAA.

I posted details of the "R4" event on the 12th March for period 13th - 16th and mentioned this time there was less chance of a M6.5+ Earthquake but exreme weather events could not be ruled out.....more to follow

Report from SpaceWeather.com A magnetic filament snaking around sunspot AR1692 erupted on March 15th at about 0600 UT..The CME left the sun traveling some 900 km/s (2 million mph). Three-dimensional computer models based on observations from SOHO and NASA's twin STEREO probes predict the CME will cross the void between sun and Earth in two days or less. NOAA forecasters estimate a 70% chance of polar geomagnetic storms when the cloud arrives on March 17th. This means the sky could turn green on St. Patrick's Day! High latitude (and possibly even middle latitude) sky watchers should be alert for auroras this weekend....click SpaceWeather.com link for more
Magnetic Filament Eruption takes place just before "R4" Period (13 - 16 March)
Tuesday, March 12th 2013, 7:28 PM EDT
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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The above "Red Warning" chart from Piers Corbyn indicates that the next few days are classified as a high ranking "R4" Period but unlike other months this period has a lesser "QV3" category.

The preceding period "R3" for the 7th - 9th March was given a higher "QV" rating of "QV5" and had a corresponding M6.5 Earthquake. On this occasion I was unable to locate a solar flare that coincided with this event.

The impact of this high ranking period is for extreme "weather" events rather then those that relate for Volcano's and Earthquakes.....more to follow.

MAGNETIC ERUPTION ON MARCH 12th - SpaceWeather.com: A magnetic filament in the sun's northern hemisphere erupted today, March 12th, around 1107 UT..The source of the explosion was active region AR1690 on the sun's central meridian. Although AR1690 is almost directly facing our planet, debris from the blast might miss Earth. A CME emerging from the blast site appears to be heading mostly north of the sun-Earth line...click SpaceWeather.com link for more
Tuesday's Farside Eruption of the Sun may have been the cause of Cyclone "Sandra"
Friday, March 8th 2013, 9:56 AM EST
Co2sceptic (Site Admin)
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I noticed today's chart from TropicalStormRisk.com had its fist active tropical storm report for several days.

It shows Cyclone Sandra gathering strength and is due to "power up" to CAT2 or more in the next day or so.

The only notable Solar activity I came across during this week was from a farside eruption on Tuesday. This solar event is a little later then I usually associate to these solar climate changes such as Cyclone "Sandra".

I have also noticed a change this week to the Proton Flux chart during the past few days (below). This looks to confirm the weaker solar event and it happens to fall into an "R3" period forecast from Piers Corbyn i.e. Piers wasn't expecting anything major to happen this week on the Sun either.

I think it's safe to say that the delay of a couple days between the event on the Sun and Cyclone Sandra doesn't look too out of place given the above mentioned scenarios
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