Sunday, August 31st 2008, 4:50 PM EDT
From WeatherAction long range forecasters
Gustav's power is likley to be LOWER than current predictions of standard meteorology
by Piers Corbyn
Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist of WeatherAction long range forecasters today (31 Aug) announced: -
"WeatherAction's solar based forecast indicators suggest that Gustav's power as it hits the US coast in the coming day or so is likley to be LOWER than current predictions of standard meteorology and the track a bit further West".
Updated Below: The latest forecast (ag around 22:00 GMT=UTC) from USA puts Gustav at cat3 tops
Comparing the situation with that of hurricane Katrina he said:
"The important thing about Katrina was that on the day it made landfall our solar-magnetic based forecast factors indicated an increase in storm power which partly negated the loss of power which occurs anyway as storms hit land. For Gustav we have our trial forecasts showing oposite effects in the coming day as it hits the coast.
"Irrespective of Solar or other natural factors, Katrina - which was a category 3 as it hit land not the higher vales often claimed - was really an engineering and poor infrastructure caused disaster presented later by polticians as a consequence of alleged man-made Climate Change. Gustav may turn out the same way because work on Levees is insufficient; however the good news for New Orleans is that it might well be less bad than current standard meteorological expectations. The Authorites are still right to evacuate as a precaution - especially in view of questions about levees, however it may be that in future with further advances in forecasting science - long, medium and short range - more precise landfall tracks may be predicable so less people will have to move out in the face of landfalling storms".
Mr Corbyn who succesfully predicted - from long range - the Mid-West blizzards in March and the NewYork heatwave 18-20 July has also announced (at a Press conference on 29 Aug) that around the period 5-7th Sept serious deluges of torrential rain - and thunder - are likley in the South central Canada - eg Manitoba - which could also possibly involve North central USA (eg North Dakota).
Weather Action's trial forecast for typhoon and hurricanes formation and rapid development for the period 5th Sept to 5th Oct will shortly be available on www.lowefo.com (NB WeatherAction did not isue a long range trial forecast for the preseent period).
Contact: Piers Corbyn (+44/0)7958713320 / (+44/0)2079399946
email@example.com / firstname.lastname@example.org
Updated: The latest forecast (ag around 22:00 GMT=UTC) from USA puts Gustav at cat3 tops
The US NationalHurricane Center latest forecast came to the WeatherAction view below about 4 hours after we circulated our statement (which itself was prepared earlier). The latest forecast (ag around 22:00 GMT=UTC) from USA puts Gustav at cat3 tops instead of cat4 and indeed the new track appears marginally further West. There still may be more changes from standard meteorology.